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Author Topic: Poll: Canadians oppose the Afghanistan mission
M. Spector
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posted 21 July 2006 10:16 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Most Canadians now oppose the military mission in Afghanistan, according to a Strategic Counsel poll.

The poll of 1,000 Canadians was taken July 13-16, days after Cpl. Boneca's death July 9 in Afghanistan, and just as the conflagration in Lebanon was set off. The poll is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, 95 per cent of the time.

Do you support sending troops to Afghanistan?

March, 2006: Yes 55%; No 41%; Don't know 4%

July, 2006: Yes 39%; No 56%; Don't know 5%

The poll found that 41% of those surveyed -- including 54% in Quebec -- believe Canadian troops should be brought home now, while 34% say Canadians should remain in Afghanistan for a limited period of two years or more; 21% say Canadians should stay for as long as it takes to stabilize the country.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 23 July 2006 06:33 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
bump
From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
Américain Égalitaire
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posted 23 July 2006 06:46 PM      Profile for Américain Égalitaire   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
That's quite a sharp turnaround if the poll is to be believed. What do you make as a reason? The casualties? The general escalation of violence in the region? Some combination of factors?
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M. Spector
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posted 23 July 2006 07:13 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
It's hard to say. Opinion seems to be volatile on this topic. Next poll could very well show a majority on the other side again.

But for those few who actually pay close attention to this war, they cannot have missed the continual stream of "bad" news from the front - not just the troop casualties, but the frequent reports on life in Afghanistan that demonstrate the failure of the coalition intervention to make any improvement.


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Bubbles
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posted 23 July 2006 08:34 PM      Profile for Bubbles        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
In my opinion Afghanistan will require a huge army and a lot of luck if an invader wants to keep control of it. It is a large tradition steeped country, topographically challanged, land locked and surrounded by powerfull nations that have their own interrests.

We should get out while we still can. We are part of the problem, which is becoming more obvious every day. And I think most people can see that as they become more informed. The problems in Afghanistan will have to be solved by local effort and not by the White house and their proxies.

[ 23 July 2006: Message edited by: Bubbles ]


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redflag
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posted 24 July 2006 12:43 PM      Profile for redflag     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think the main reason why support has been dwindling is because a lot of people are starting to understand that we're not in Afghanistan doing a peacekeeping mission like we normally do. I think that people were always under the misguided impression that the mission in Afghanistan wasn't going to be as violent as it is right now. Obviously there is a lot more to it then that, but I think that's a big reason why.
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Noise
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posted 24 July 2006 01:12 PM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
My concern with the poll is:

quote:
The poll of 1,000 Canadians was taken July 13-16, days after Cpl. Boneca's death July 9 in Afghanistan, and just as the conflagration in Lebanon was set off. The poll is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, 95 per cent of the time.

They are only polling 1000 Canadians on the issue without comment or regards to where those Canadians are from (exception Quebec). When you're target group is that small, it's bound to flucuate alot... Especially depending on the location of those respondants. Very hard to draw conclusions based on this poll... I also get the feeling that a large part of it is the recent conflict in Lebanon and the general populations ignorance regarding the setup (The 'islamic' grouping as if AQ in afghanistan is equiv to Hizbollah in Lebanon). There also might be an anti-harper ressonance going after his Pro-Israeli stance too.

quote:
July, 2006: Yes 39%; No 56%; Don't know 5%

I find that I don't know number sitting at 5% says alot... I can garentee you the number of people that have no clue whats going on in Afghanistan is much higher than 5% (apparently a national poll on the Lebanon conflict said 8% of canadians (13% in maritimes) are unaware the conflict is even happening), therefore it must go without saying that several yes and no respondents are going with the flow (war is baaaad m-kay? or die terrorists die!) and have no real clue of why they responded yes or no. I guess the downside to democracy is my informed vote is effectively cancelled out by someone who likes to randomly vote using a magic 8-ball.

quote:
But for those few who actually pay close attention to this war, they cannot have missed the continual stream of "bad" news from the front

Important to note that 100 small successes are never reported on while one goof up makes frontline headlines... International forces do a successful purge of Taliban militants in a town (completed with the intel coming from local Afghan sources... Meaning there is Afghan citizen support there, though unsure how much) was completely sidelined by a story of Tim Hortons running out of doughnuts for the Afghan troops (sadly, I'm not kidding). So the media does cause a bit of this bias... Mind you war weariness is an accepted condition of democracy ^^

[ 24 July 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
jeff house
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posted 24 July 2006 01:28 PM      Profile for jeff house     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Important to note that 100 small successes are never reported

I call these "faith-based successes" because they exist only in the minds of those who Truly Believe.

War correspondents have great difficulty penetrating the reality of war; consequently the news that they report is generally the news that the military is comfortable with.

Most bad news trickles out later, often years later.


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Jacob Two-Two
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posted 24 July 2006 01:59 PM      Profile for Jacob Two-Two     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I think the main reason why support has been dwindling is because a lot of people are starting to understand that we're not in Afghanistan doing a peacekeeping mission like we normally do.

In a sense, I think you're right, but I don't think it's a matter of mission parameters, but rather difficulty. I think most Canadians were under the impression that Afghanistan was basically a nailed-down situation that we were providing stabilty to and tying up loose ends of. Kind of "mopping-up". They are getting less comfortable now that they're starting to see it as an actual war, an ongoing conflict that means ongoing losses.


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Noise
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posted 24 July 2006 02:07 PM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I call these "faith-based successes" because they exist only in the minds of those who Truly Believe.

Not at all... There are several successful contact missions with tribe leaders, but the only one reported on was the one where a canadian soldier was attacked by a hatchet. Theres thousands of escort missions, we only hear of the one thats had a fatal attack occour. There are plenty of combat situations, and the only ones reported indepth are the ones that claimed soldiers such as Nichola Goddard. Get my drift? It's with any form of news, you don't hear about the 'success' of hundreds of thousands of motorists getting from place to place, we only see the news of the driving 'failures'


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Lawrence Day
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posted 24 July 2006 08:26 PM      Profile for Lawrence Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
We certainly heard a lot about Captain Goddard and very little about Captain Riordon. She died quickly; he died slowly of 'Gulf War Syndrome' and donated his body to scientists (UMRC) who found much uranium poisoning. The air and dust in Afghanistan is both heavy-metal toxic and radioactive.
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M. Spector
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posted 24 July 2006 08:54 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Noise:
My concern with the poll is...They are only polling 1000 Canadians on the issue without comment or regards to where those Canadians are from (exception Quebec). When you're target group is that small, it's bound to flucuate alot... Especially depending on the location of those respondants. Very hard to draw conclusions based on this poll...
Are you disputing the claim that this poll is considered statistically accurate to within 3.1 percentage points 95% of the time?
quote:
Important to note that 100 small successes are never reported on while one goof up makes frontline headlines...
There are powerful interests in this country that are prepared to do their damnedest to paint a smiley face on the Afghan adventure. You can be sure that any semblance of "success" (whatever that means) will be plastered all over the front page of the Globe and Mail under Christie Blatchford's byline.

The fact that we don't hear about the "successes" is a pretty reliable indicator that there aren't any to write home about.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
ebunny
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posted 25 July 2006 10:01 AM      Profile for ebunny        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by M. Spector:

The fact that we don't hear about the "successes" is a pretty reliable indicator that there aren't any to write home about.

The reason you don't hear about the "successes" is because you don't ask the right people. Do a google for 'Canadian Army forum or chat' there are a couple forums out there chalk full of 'grunts' and field officers whou would be willing to tell you both the good and the bad stories from overthere. And then you can make your decision bassed on true first hand knowledge instead of the garbage pumped out by the Canadian media. And believe it or not our soldiers actually interact with the Afghanies on a daily basis and not always with guns

I mean really, The media is more full of shit than our higher ups. Even military guys and gals hate the media. There always looking to create a story. Remember Cpl Boneca? Seeing dead bodies come home was getting repetitive and boring from there perspective, so they pounced on the story that he was disillusioned and practically tore Boneca's family apart.

I couldn't tell you what it's like or how successful the mission has been because I haven't been over there. But atleast I can say that what I know on afghanistan has been passed on by first hand knowledge.

Thanks


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Noise
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posted 25 July 2006 10:09 AM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Are you disputing the claim that this poll is considered statistically accurate to within 3.1 percentage points 95% of the time?

Statistcally, that'd be correct... but you'd get different results if you polled 999 people from windsor and 1 peson in BC than if you polled 999 from BC instead... I think if you did this poll again on a different set of 1000 peeps from different areas, you'll see diff results. Not disputing, just pointing out that the results of this will fluctuate alot day to day.

quote:
The fact that we don't hear about the "successes" is a pretty reliable indicator that there aren't any to write home about.

What would you define as a success worthy of writing home about? Now compare that to what you'd consider a 'failure' worthy of writing about.


From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 25 July 2006 03:53 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Noise:
Statistcally, that'd be correct... but you'd get different results if you polled 999 people from windsor and 1 peson in BC than if you polled 999 from BC instead... I think if you did this poll again on a different set of 1000 peeps from different areas, you'll see diff results. Not disputing, just pointing out that the results of this will fluctuate alot day to day.
In other words, you are disputing the statistical accuracy of the poll. What do you think it means when they say it’s “accurate” within 3.1%? What part of “95% of the time” do you not accept?

The sample of 1000 people is supposed to represent and reflect the views of Canadians across the country. That’s what is meant by statistical accuracy. It’s not just accurate for the 1000 people polled, but for the population they are supposed to represent.

It’s pointless to say there are regional differences so therefore the poll is wrong; the polling methods used are supposed to take those differences into account to within 3.1% 19 times out of 20.

quote:
What would you define as a success worthy of writing home about?
The definition is not up to me, but it’s up to the people who do the writing home - i.e., the journalists like Blatchford and others. If they (who are the ones engaged in painting the smiley face I referred to) don’t write home about the supposed “successes” then it’s not because they or their editors are suppressing that kind of news about the Afghanistan war.

I put “successes” in quotes, because what is a success depends on what you are trying to achieve, and the latter is by no means clear or beyond dispute. What you or I or ebunny or Steve Harper would consider a “success” in Afghanistan is probably not the same.

Maybe you could tell us what you mean by “100 small successes” since you were the one who used the word first.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
Pimji
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posted 25 July 2006 08:51 PM      Profile for Pimji   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Remarkably among the options keeping Canadian troops in Afghanistan but to change their mandate to peacekeeping and the enforcement of international law is not even considered.

I wrote an email to my Conservative MP stating this along with the poll.

His reply:

Thank you for your e-mail.
I understand the Minister has already seen the article.

As I have mentioned before, we are not in Afghanistan in a combat role. We are there to bring peace and democracy.

Afghanistan has hundreds of years of violent history and we are there in an effort to stop that.

Our troops will respond when attacked however.
-----

WOW! It is amazing (well maybe not) that my MP believes that we are not in a combat role in Afghanistan, even though the mission of our armed forces is "counter-insurgency " as part of the US Operation Enduring Freedom.

No wonder that Canadian voters are confused when even the MPs of the ruling political party don't know what our Armed Forces are doing.


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Fidel
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posted 25 July 2006 09:05 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
But we know that the U.S. military were the ones embroidering news reports from Vietnam. And now their own people are saying Iraq is a lost cause.

So, Noise, when will the women and children be free in Kandahar ?.

You know, they still tie children to posts and leave them to expire under the hot sun in Arabia for merely insulting King Saud within earshot of the secret police. This is typical of our alleged friends in the Middle East that we're talking about. These are people who funded the Taliban and 9-11 hijackers and invested in Saddam's Iraq on Warshington's suggestion. They own a significant percentage of assets and stock shares in North America.


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ebunny
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posted 25 July 2006 10:24 PM      Profile for ebunny        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Pimji:
As I have mentioned before, we are not in Afghanistan in a combat role. We are there to bring peace and democracy.


Oh course we are in a combat role, any soldier will tell you that. Just think of Operation Mountain Thrust that took place this month. Bringing peace and democracy is the objective and yup, without lying to you, Canadian soldiers are partaking in military activities to route out oponents (Taliban mainly but there are other actors) that oppose the Karzai gov't.

Not trying to pursuade your opinion on Afghanistan just trying to lessen the confussion.

[ 25 July 2006: Message edited by: ebunny ]


From: Ottawa | Registered: Jul 2006  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 26 July 2006 01:22 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
How's this for "smiley-face" news from the MSM?
From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
unionist
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posted 26 July 2006 01:26 PM      Profile for unionist     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
"Do you know the per capita income in the last four years has more than doubled? Did you know the GNP [Gross National Product] has more than doubled? I mean, those are hard facts that cannot be ignored."

The wonders of opium. Definitely can't be ignored.


From: Vote QS! | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
siren
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posted 26 July 2006 01:33 PM      Profile for siren     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by M. Spector:
How's this for "smiley-face" news from the MSM?

The article itself is fairly balanced. I think it is Ambassador David Sproule who is a smiley faced moron. Perhaps he's dipping into some of that there GNP boosting opium.


From: Of course we could have world peace! But where would be the profit in that? | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 26 July 2006 01:49 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The Ambassador's statistics are interesting. "Do you know," he asks rhetorically, "the per capita income in the last four years has more than doubled? Did you know the GNP [Gross National Product] has more than doubled?"

I wonder what he means by the "last four years"? What is the baseline year he's using? Statistics are not complete for 2006, so he must be referring to 2005 figures. That would make his baseline 2001, the year the country was pounded into rubble and the Taliban government deposed. The country was an economic disaster in 2001. For example, opium production (their major cash crop) was only 185 tonnes in 2001, down from 3,300 tonnes the year before. It rebounded quickly, however, in 2002, to the tune of 3,400 tonnes, and by 2005 opium production was up to 4,100 tonnes. [source (.pdf)]


Since 2001, some $8 billion (US) in international assistance has been poured into the country.

So, it's no real surprise that per capita income and the GDP doubled between 2001 and 2005.

The CIA is not nearly as enthusiastic as the Ambassador, however:

quote:
Despite the progress of the past few years, Afghanistan remains extremely poor, landlocked, and highly dependent on foreign aid, farming, and trade with neighboring countries. It will probably take the remainder of the decade and continuing donor aid and attention to significantly raise Afghanistan's living standards from its current status, among the lowest in the world. Much of the population continues to suffer from shortages of housing, clean water, electricity, medical care, and jobs, but the Afghan government and international donors remain committed to improving access to these basic necessities by prioritizing infrastructure development, education, housing development, jobs programs, and economic reform over the next year. Growing political stability and continued international commitment to Afghan reconstruction create an optimistic outlook for continuing improvements in the Afghan economy in 2006. Expanding poppy cultivation and a growing opium trade may account for one-third of GDP and looms as one of Kabul's most serious policy challenges. Other long-term challenges include: boosting the supply of skilled labor, reducing vulnerability to severe natural disasters, expanding health services, and rebuilding a war torn infrastructure.

From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
Noise
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posted 26 July 2006 02:09 PM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
It’s pointless to say there are regional differences so therefore the poll is wrong; the polling methods used are supposed to take those differences into account to within 3.1% 19 times out of 20.

Heh, not disputing the poll... Just predicting we'll see it jump back and forth based on region polled and recent world events. Hizbollah vs Israel seems to have sparked more anti-war sentiments as the flavor of the week. Next week our population could have it's different issue of the week and have a different view.

quote:
I put “successes” in quotes, because what is a success depends on what you are trying to achieve, and the latter is by no means clear or beyond dispute. What you or I or ebunny or Steve Harper would consider a “success” in Afghanistan is probably not the same.

Maybe you could tell us what you mean by “100 small successes” since you were the one who used the word first.


Very correct... Would you consider a rocket attack on a Canadian encampment where quick reactions meant no casulaties... Is that a success as opposed to one that sees fatalities a failure? If the Canadians do seveal operations, and one of them see a soldier come home in a body bag, do you even hear of the previous 'successful' operations? Is it possible for an escort mission to be a success? We only hear of it when there was a 'failure' instead.

quote:
So, Noise, when will the women and children be free in Kandahar ?.

My answer pends on how religious you are... Is death freedom?


added:

quote:
I wonder what he means by the "last four years"? What is the baseline year he's using?

Hehe, I like that Thanks for questioning the spector, tis worth looking into.

[ 26 July 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


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jeff house
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posted 26 July 2006 02:53 PM      Profile for jeff house     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Do you know the per capita income in the last four years has more than doubled? Did you know the GNP [Gross National Product] has more than doubled? I mean, those are hard facts that cannot be ignored."

Well, heroine and opium prices are quite high on the world market right now.


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Fidel
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posted 26 July 2006 04:00 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Noise:

Heh, not disputing the poll... Just predicting we'll see it jump back and forth based on region polled and recent world events. Hizbollah vs Israel seems to have sparked more anti-war sentiments as the flavor of the week. Next week our population could have it's different issue of the week and have a different view.

[ 26 July 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


So when will the pro-war side have their day of demonstrations across Canada ?. March 18 was a day of protest against the illegal war on poor Iraqi's for the advertised sake of getting to one man(and unofficially, a shitload of oil).

Our lapdogs in Ottawa will have to do a better job of propagandizing the war on poor people than paleoconservatives are doing currently for the unpopular military occupation of Iraq.

And Karzai's kleptocrats have lowered Afghani unemployment from a war-time high of 80 percent to about 40 percent. It must be a new record for the democratic capitalist third world. They'll have infant mortality rates as low as Kazakhstan's and Nunavut's before long. Clear the track!

[ 26 July 2006: Message edited by: Fidel ]


From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 26 July 2006 05:04 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:

ebunny:
The reason you don't hear about the "successes" is because you don't ask the right people.

The media does report so called successes, but so what? Tactical successes in this kind of war are no accurate indicator that the war is being won. In fact tactical successes may do more harm than good in that they create a false sense of accomplishment and encourage further meaningless successful actions along with further loss of life.

All that the Afghans have to do to defeat the foreign occupation is to keep fighting whether they win any battles or not. The numbers are on their side in a war of attrition.

Canada's decision to make about Afghanistan is how much it wants to bet that the Afghans will eventually see foreign occupation as a good thing and quit fighting. Or, how much money the defense industry can milk out of this before it becomes too great a political liability.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 26 July 2006 06:25 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hello Jerry

We talked about these successes in the other thread last week. Is there a way for the media to report strategic successes in this situation without the report seeing like government propaganda?

Does the common Canadian understand the situation in Afghanistan? Would they understand the difference from a tactical defeat from a strategic victory? How would you educate the public about a country with a history such as Afghanistan?

In the end Afghanistan will cost a lot of Canadian causalities, equipment and money. I am still not sure if the end will be a victory or a defeat for Canada.


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Jerry West
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posted 26 July 2006 07:15 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Strategic success in Afghanistan in the narrowest sense is having the Afghans cease resistance and accept the western imposed government. I don't feel too optimistic about that happening and refer those interested in these kinds of conflicts to look at Vietnam, Algeria, and the Russian experience in Afghanistan.

In a broader sense, many Canadians may not be happy with the narrow strategic victory if it leaves in place a government still committed to Islamic law, repression of civil rights and subjugation of women.

Rather than trying to educate the Canadian public on the official policy, a better way forward would be for Canadian soldiers to learn more about fourth generation warfare and the history of how these things turn out, then take a good, serious look into the future and see if they forsee anything in the end but a bunch of medals and dead or mangled buddies.

If the purpose of being a soldier is to just fight, any fight, or to draw pay for a job, any job, then one has no reason to think about it at all. If one truly has a higher sense of duty to the country and humanity as a citizen rather than as a servant, then there are some serious things to ponder about this mission.


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Pimji
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posted 26 July 2006 07:37 PM      Profile for Pimji   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
ebunny

I KNOW Canada is involved in comabt role. The quote you quoted is from an email from my Conservative MP.

You need to explain that to the him since he doesn't seem to know what the Canadian military is doing there and he is in the ruling party.

quote:
As I have mentioned before, we are not in Afghanistan in a combat role. We are there to bring peace and democracy.

That is the quote from his email to me. If you want his name I'll send it to you.

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Webgear
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posted 26 July 2006 08:07 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
What form of government would be best for Afghanistan? You mentioned a two forms of government however we both know that neither ideology is good for the country at this time.

Yet the country is still divide on most political, economical and culture issues, we just can not force a government or will on the country (yes I know we have done this). These are problems that will take decades to correct, yet most people want the North American quick fix deal.

I believe you are partial correct about your statement on official policy, I believe the public should be educated on 4GW (and other military theories, concepts), education is need for everyone involved.

Being a soldier is difficult as you know, and sometimes how you view an issue at your level is not see by people at another level of command or by the public back home. I have gone from one extreme to the other while on mission, sometimes I am there for the money, other times I am there for humanity and sometimes I am there for the guys that I work with.

Can you provide a link to 4GW which you would recommend , I just want to make sure we are both talking about the same version of the 4GW.

[ 26 July 2006: Message edited by: Webgear ]


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 26 July 2006 08:35 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Webgear:

What form of government is best for Afghanistan is for the Afghans to sort out on their own. One can make an argument for carefully stepping in to prevent genocide or gross violations of human rights, but that doesn't apply here. We have moved the focus for Afghans from human rights and such to expelling foreigners.

The changes that we in progressive societies would like to see have to come from within a society and be demanded by members of that society. There are many ways that we can facilitate that process without putting troops on the ground.

The central problem in Afghanistan is their culture and that is something that we can't force them to change short of committing genocide ourselves.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 26 July 2006 08:46 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Webgear:

William S. Lind is a conservative/libertarian who has written extensively on the 4GW issue. He is worth reading:

Link

You might also want to check out The Sling and the Stone by Marine Col. Thomas X. Hammes. He understands the mechanics of 4GW but isn't too clear on the root causes.

Link


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 26 July 2006 08:50 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
PS:

The works of Gwynne Dyer should be required reading for all officers and non-coms

Link


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 26 July 2006 08:55 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Jerry West:
PS:

The works of Gwynne Dyer should be required reading for all officers and non-coms

Link


I believe some of his work is on the military reading list.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Lawrence Day
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posted 27 July 2006 02:33 AM      Profile for Lawrence Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
How about reading the collected works of Leuren Moret, Doug Rokke or Asaf Durakovic? Or even one article by each?

They're not arm chair leftist philosophers; rather insider scientists, uranium experts turned whistle-blowers on the genocidal horrors of 'depleted' uranium armaments.

Polling 1000 sleepy, average-IQ=100 Canadians about Afghanistan just measures the effectiveness of public relations campaigns/propaganda plus a slight breeze of today's news.

What the dead said:
(a) 4 dead from speed addicted yankee air farce;
(b) 9 dead from IDF crazies;
(c) 7 dead from Afghan students/taliban crazies;
(d) Capt Terry Riordan

But but but.. Uranium is a major export and Canada
has a third of the world's supply and the yank military-industrial-complex is majorly addicted.
If we don't supply them they'll get it from Niger?

Uranium oxide gas has been known to be a weapon of mass destruction since 1943. Being known genocidal it's use is of course banned. And of course compliant Canada switched to tungsten. And of course yanks say our exported uranium won't be militarized.. yet a week after the Shock and Awe massive bombing the radiation level in the atmosphere had increased mesurably as far away
as England. Woo eh! Talk about your 'dust in the wind'.

Or an average-citizen poll can easily be rigged.
For example: "Before the (toxic) invasion the Taliban had almost completely eradicated the
opium trade; after the multinational invasion more heroin was produced than ever before. Was Canada correct to get involved in the invasion?"

Of course the sleepyhead chorus votes nay.
And those who treat politics as a sport where one chooses a team to cheer on, they will just parrot the party line dittoheadedly.


From: Toronto | Registered: Jun 2006  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 27 July 2006 12:32 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:

How about reading the collected works of Leuren Moret, Doug Rokke or Asaf Durakovic? Or even one article by each?

Links??

Also from CBC

quote:

Canada is carrying water for the United States

CBC News Viewpoint | July 26, 2006

Many years ago, I flew over Afghanistan but never touched down there. The day of my flight was clear and sunny and I remember the magnificence of that rugged land with its ancient mountains and striking beauty. From the air that's what you see.

The country's history tells a much different story. It's one of ugliness and cruelty, of vicious tribal warfare, drug trafficking, widespread corruption and historically unsuccessful foreign occupations. Its tribes and warlords live in a world of ongoing instability and social chaos. It's an important history to us now, because many young Canadians are there risking their lives in an effort to bring order to a disordered land.

Like many of my fellow citizens, I have been following our country's involvement with a combination of sadness and horror. Twenty Canadians have been killed, and the list of our wounded is growing.

Each death strikes at the heart of every caring Canadian, and that includes, I'm certain, the officials who decided to send these young people so easily into the heart of danger. More will die in this conflict, that's a tragic certainty.

Many questions have been asked about what we euphemistically call "the mission." Most Canadians are unclear as to what that means, although we have the vague idea that we are fighting terrorism. But what we are truly fighting is a war that is an Afghan responsibility....

Link to full article



From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Lawrence Day
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posted 28 July 2006 12:22 PM      Profile for Lawrence Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
re: links
Here is a good overview:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article12903.htm

From Dr. Moret at:

http://www.mindfully.org/Nucs/2004/Moret-Nuclear-Carlyle16sep04.htm
(...)
The use of weapons in war are most effective when the weapons do not kill, but create long-term health and environmental consequences such as lingering illnesses which slowly destroy the health of the environment and productivity of a nation and the economy. The use of Agent Orange in Vietnam is a good example of an environmental disaster with lingering and long-term health effects on a population, as well as causing trans-boundary contamination. DU is a permanent terrain contaminant with a half-life of 4.5 billion years, forms immense volumes of nano-sized particles (smaller than bacteria or viruses) which are lofted permanently as components of atmospheric dust traveling around the world until they are rained or snowed out of the air. There is no possible protective clothing, air filters, or treatment for internal exposure to this form of a poison radioactive gas. It was proposed as a military poison gas weapon in 1943 under the Manhattan Project. Even worse, uranium targets the DNA, and the Master Code (histone) which controls the expression of the DNA, and slowly destroys the genetic future of exposed populations. The US CODE, TITLE 50 > CHAPTER 40 > Sec. 2302, defines a Weapon of Mass Destruction as:

The term ''weapon of mass destruction'' means any weapon or device that is intended, or has the capability, to cause death or serious bodily injury to a significant number of people through the release, dissemination, or impact of - (A) toxic or poisonous chemicals or their precursors; (B) a disease organism; or (C) radiation or radioactivity.

The US has staged four nuclear wars since 1991 using illegal DU dirty bombs, dirty missiles and dirty bullets as radiological weapons and released an amount of radiation into the atmosphere which is at least ten times more radiation than the equivalent of 40,000 Hiroshima bombs, released during atmospheric testing. In June 2003, the WHO predicted in a press release that cancer will increase 50% globally by the year 2020, which can only be from an environmental cause. Already medical and scientific journals are reporting mysterious increases of infant mortality in 20 regions of Europe (Lancet Jan. 2004), the UK (Guardian Aug. 2004), and the US (New Scientist Feb.2004). Infant mortality should be decreasing now as a continuing trend for more than a century because of improved education and prenatal care, instead it is increasing in the US for the first time in 45 years with no identified cause. For radiation specialists, infant mortality is the most sensitive indicator of radioactive pollution, a response researchers have identified as a result of exposure to low level radiation from atmospheric testing and nuclear power plant accidents, releases, and startups. The global pollution from thousands of tons of DU in nano-size particles traveling around the earth and being deposited in the global environment will have a devastating long-term effect. Not only will it cause illnesses and genetic mutations in the future generations of those internally exposed, but it will have a depopulating effect long proposed by the US military. DU is the perfect weapon delivering nanoparticles of poison, radiation, and nano-pollution - the real killer – directly into living cells where they cause the cells to go haywire and dysfunctional:

"Should humans be so stupid as to continue both technological escalation and wars between nation-states, radiological warfare might well be a far more safe and humane way to conduct extermination of large numbers of people, or the emptying out of troublesome political centres, than any of the various biological alternatives."
(...)

That is a long article summarizing the history of uranium research. For a briefer update:

http://www.xs4all.nl/%7Estgvisie/VISIE/A-death-sentence-here-and-abroad.html

Dr. Rokke:

http://www.traprockpeace.org/rokke_du_care_denied.html

Dr. Durakovic's Uranium Medical Research Centre site:

http://www.umrc.net/

Note: Scrolling down in the left column gives a page on the Terry Riordon Memorial Fund. Contributions are tax deductible.

For lots of links to recent newspaper coverage etc.:

http://www.rense.com/general70/du.htm

at the bottom of the column
particularly instructive is:

http://www.rense.com/general69/soar.htm

A trap to avoid: if you just google "Depleted Uranium" there will be over 2million entries with self-serving junk science propaganda from the uranium industry, the military industrial complex, U.S. Dept of 'Defence' etc. close to the top.
So engage your disinformation deflectors!


From: Toronto | Registered: Jun 2006  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 28 July 2006 09:57 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
NATO to take over in Afghan south on Monday

" NATO is to take over military operations in volatile southern Afghanistan from U.S.-led forces on Monday, thrusting the alliance into what will likely be the toughest combat mission in its 57-year history.

A NATO statement said the alliance's council of 26 member states gave final authorization on Friday for the expansion into six provinces of the south of the country."


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
unionist
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posted 28 July 2006 10:03 PM      Profile for unionist     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
rense.com is a looney conspiracy-theory website which is way over on the wrong side of the anti-Semitic Jewish conspiracy line. It is really a bad idea to link to it from a progressive website.
From: Vote QS! | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
-=+=-
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posted 28 July 2006 10:04 PM      Profile for -=+=-   Author's Homepage        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Jerry West:
Webgear:

The changes that we in progressive societies would like to see have to come from within a society and be demanded by members of that society. There are many ways that we can facilitate that process without putting troops on the ground.


Very true. Look what happened in Nepal. They basically had a homegrown Parliamentary Revolution against the King.

It was done without Western hysterics, "exporting human rights" or troops on the ground. Maybe that's why it wasn't celebrated in the news.


From: Turtle Island | Registered: Oct 2004  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 29 July 2006 05:39 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Thanks to Lawrence for the links.

The latest IPSOS poll:

quote:

Support For Troops In Afghanistan Sinks To Minority Territory…

Today, just under half of Canadians (47%) support the “use of Canada’s troops for security and combat efforts against the Taliban and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan”– a drop of 10 points since mid-May. More specifically, this drop has particularly affected the proportion who “strongly support” the mission – down to 17% from 29% at this questions last sounding.

Forty-nine (+3 points) oppose our troop’s combat operations in Afghanistan (30% “strongly oppose”).

And More Now Feel Troops Should Be Brought Home As Soon As Possible (52%) Rather Than Stay In Afghanistan (41%)…

Fifty-two percent of Canadians are now of the opinion that “Canadian troops should not be deployed in Afghanistan and they should be brought home as soon as possible” (up 6 points from late March) versus just 41% who feel “Canadian troops are performing a vital mission in Afghanistan and they should stay as long as it takes for them to succeed” (down 9 points from March 23 and down 11 points from March 3). Seven percent of Canadians say they “don’t know”....
Link



From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
otter
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posted 29 July 2006 06:16 PM      Profile for otter        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Canadians have a long history of being opposed to u.s lead wars regardless of where they are. And the mandarins of the Canadian military know full well that there is no way we can ever succeed there when every major military force in the world has had its ass handed to it by the Afgans at some time in the past.

Personally i enjoy watching the Harpies take a beating in the polls. Unfortunately it is going to cost even more Canadian lives before we too forced to withdraw with our military tails tucked between our legs.


From: agent provocateur inc. | Registered: Feb 2006  |  IP: Logged
Lawrence Day
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posted 29 July 2006 06:22 PM      Profile for Lawrence Day     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
unionist: "Rense.com is a looney conspiracy-theory website which is way over on the wrong side of the anti-Semitic Jewish conspiracy line. It is really a bad idea to link to it from a progressive website."

Well, to avoid such trollery, I linked to the archive on depleted uranium, not to the front page.
Obviously one can oppose Israeli military tactics, or Zionism itself, without being 'anti-Semitic'.

If knee-jerk support for Israel is the litmus test for being 'progressive' I guess I don't qualify but Mr. Harper does? That doesn't make much sense to me. I've never heard Jeff Rense's radio program, but I do notice he has a commendation from 'Jews Against Zionism' and archives Jewish authors like Henry Makow and Barry Chamish quite regularly.

But, not to be distracted from the topic of the thread, I think if more Canadians understood the nature of uranium armaments, then they would automatically not want our troops involved in radioactive, toxic quagmires like Afghanistan.

That includes southern Lebanon, even as 'peace-keepers', if Israel uses the uranium war head GBU 28 'bunker buster' omnicide weapons recently given to it by the U.S.

Since you, unionist, have set yourself up as arbiter of good and bad links for progressives, please tell me what you think about this one:

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/july2006/290706deadlydu.htm


From: Toronto | Registered: Jun 2006  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 29 July 2006 06:31 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Otter:

I believe some British, French and German officers once in 1916/17 stated that Vimy Ridge would never be captured by the Canadian military.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 29 July 2006 07:06 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Webgear:

Are you arguing for Vimy style loss rates for our troops in Afghanistan??


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 29 July 2006 07:18 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Actually the Vimy Ridge loses were quiet low considering the number of soldiers involved and the size of the objective that was taken from the Germans.

But in the same case 1000 Greek Hoplites held off a force of 2.8 million soldiers of the Persian Army for several days in 480 BC.


Never say never when dealing with militaries of small sizes.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 29 July 2006 07:29 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
In the end those hoplites were all killed, however.

You might bring up Rourke's Drift as a better example, but then there was a considerable difference in weapons.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 29 July 2006 08:54 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yes, they died however the die for the noble cause. They fought a glorious fight, with an outcome that was known before the battle was started.

What about the Battle of the Windmill in 1838. Both sides were equal equipped and similar numbers.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
jester
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posted 29 July 2006 11:04 PM      Profile for jester        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
When you go home, tell them of us and say,
"for your tomorrow we gave our today"


This epigram by Simonides is originally about the Battle of Themopylae. It has been used many times since.

I wonder if the next time it will be in the context of Afghanistan or,more likely Iraq.


From: Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain | Registered: Jan 2006  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 30 July 2006 05:08 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:

Webgear:
Yes, they died however the die for the noble cause. They fought a glorious fight, with an outcome that was known before the battle was started.

A suicide mission. This is your analogy for our mission in Afghanistan?

quote:

What about the Battle of the Windmill in 1838. Both sides were equal equipped and similar numbers.

The various sources I have read put the number at about 200 Americans/Rebels to 2000 Canadian and Brit troops, thats 10 to 1.

Unlike Rourke's drift the numbers won out. The numbers in Afghanistan favour the Afghans.

quote:

This epigram by Simonides is originally about the Battle of Themopylae. It has been used many times since.

What Simonides doesn't say is whether it will be a better or worse tomorrow.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 30 July 2006 05:20 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
PS for Webgear:

Some things never change.

quote:

Soldiers in Afghanistan growing tired of 'rats'
If army marches on stomach, Canadians in field have bunions

Ethan Baron, CanWest News Service
Published: Sunday, July 30, 2006

KANDAHAR, Afghanistan — When the going gets tough, the tough trade rations. After weeks in the field, Canadian combat and support troops become sick to death of their packaged rations.

The "rats," as they are known, come in brown paper sacks packed with tear-open boxes and pouches.

Soldiers eat rations for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

And while the Canadians appreciate their coalition counterparts for their roles in the multi-national force, they are deeply grateful for what comes out of their ration boxes: something other than the same old chow....

Link


I recommend carrying personal cans of sardines and salmon, the extra weight is worth it. And, C4 makes a good heat source for quick cooking.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 30 July 2006 07:46 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Jerry West:
PS for Webgear:

Some things never change.

I recommend carrying personal cans of sardines and salmon, the extra weight is worth it. And, C4 makes a good heat source for quick cooking.


It is the new generation of kids complaining about food, I suppose you complained about the food in Vietnam when you were young. Things can not be that bad if the only thing they can complain about is the food in Afghanistan.

I carry some extra items such as a flask of my favorite drink, extra seasoning salt, a tomahawk and three good luck charms.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Jerry West
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posted 30 July 2006 08:23 PM      Profile for Jerry West   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:

Webgrear:
It is the new generation of kids complaining about food, I suppose you complained about the food in Vietnam when you were young.

Things can not be that bad if the only thing they can complain about is the food in Afghanistan.


From experience I have IMPs on my food list just a half a notch above my boots and belt. The old C rations were not too bad in comparison.

I'm willing to bet that they are complaining about more than the food, which is almost mandatory.


From: Gold River, BC | Registered: Oct 2001  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 30 July 2006 08:37 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I enjoyed complaining about those air force and navy types the most while in Afghanistan.
From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Webgear
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posted 30 July 2006 09:01 PM      Profile for Webgear     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Jerry West:

A suicide mission. This is your analogy for our mission in Afghanistan?


Volunteering on for any mission (UN, NATO) is very suicidal these days. Seems like Canadians are being killed and injure no matter where they are.


From: Montgomery's Tavern | Registered: May 2005  |  IP: Logged
Noise
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posted 31 July 2006 10:05 AM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
BBC's interviewed some Afghans and got their opinions.
From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
500_Apples
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posted 31 July 2006 10:15 AM      Profile for 500_Apples   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Noise, thanks for the link, but I have to wonder if the reported who compiled them sought to present a representative sample of opinions, or to present all opinions. I'd like to see some numbers on how Afghans feel, though my instinct tells me that was is seen in that link is in fact a representative sample.

Back in early 2003, a lot argued that one of the worst downsides of the Iraq war was that it would pull attention and troops from Afghanistan. They were right.


From: Montreal, Quebec | Registered: Jun 2006  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 01 October 2006 08:24 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
From Canadian Press:

A clear majority of Canadians consider the mission in Afghanistan a lost cause, according to an extensive survey that hints at deep public skepticism about the war on terror.

Decima Research polled more than 2,000 Canadians last month just as Prime Minister Stephen Harper stepped up his efforts to promote the mission.

Fifty-nine per cent of respondents agreed Canadian soldiers "are dying for a cause we cannot win," while just 34 per cent disagreed with that statement.

An even larger majority said they would never fight in Afghanistan themselves under any circumstances - not even if they were forced to in some military draft.

The online survey of 2,038 people was conducted Sept. 8-18 and is considered accurate to within 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
a lonely worker
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posted 01 October 2006 09:25 PM      Profile for a lonely worker     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I'm glad we're not being fooled. Thankfully, clear thinking Canadians are still in majority.

MS, is this the source you quoted from:

Most Canadians believe Afghan mission a lost cause: survey

Meanwhile our chickenhawk Generals are starting to turn on the neo-cons for not "defending the mission" enough:

quote:
The Conservative government's inability last summer to clearly articulate and defend Canada's mission in Afghanistan was a source of great frustration among the country's top military commanders, defence department sources say.

The vexation was vented at a Sept. 6 meeting involving senior federal officials and Chief of Defence Staff Gen. Rick Hillier.

At the meeting, called to discuss the dispatch of reinforcements including tanks to help in the battle for Panjwai, Mr. Hillier reportedly said that critics of the war had enjoyed an “open field” to “degrade public support for the mission,” said a source who asked not to be named.

As casualties mounted through the summer, opposition to the war galvanized and found a rallying point in NDP Leader Jack Layton's call for a withdrawal of Canadians from combat operations,

In the absence of political leadership, some commentators came to term the bloody struggle to wrest control of southern Afghanistan from the Taliban as “Hillier's War” — a galling description for officers who say the quotable and accessible general is just doing his job.

“He has no problem defending the mission or speaking on behalf of the men and women in uniform, but until recently the government had not stepped up to the plate,” said one defence department official who spoke on condition of anonymity.

“Now that Parliament is back they're being forced to defend the deployment.”

A spokesman for Mr. O'Connor didn't deny the military's criticism, but rejected the notion that the Conservatives failed to defend the mission at a crucial time.

“Canada's new government remains one hundred per cent behind our troops in Afghanistan,” said Etienne Allard.

It's not that Canadians “don't get, or fail to comprehend why we're in Afghanistan,” Mr. Hillier said. “They just need to be walked through why our soldiers are in Afghanistan and what we're trying to achieve there.”

Mr. Allard denied that public support for the mission has softened since the summer spike in violence.


Military worried about Tory failure to defend Afghan mission


From: Anywhere that annoys neo-lib tools | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
sgm
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posted 01 October 2006 10:58 PM      Profile for sgm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Awful sidescroll problem I couldn't correct, sorry.

[ 01 October 2006: Message edited by: sgm ]


From: I have welcomed the dawn from the fields of Saskatchewan | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged

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