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Topic: did Chavez speech sink Venezuela cause?
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Geneva
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3808
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posted 25 October 2006 04:50 AM
NYT thinks so: http://tinyurl.com/y6pvq7 Venezuela’s populist leader, Hugo Chávez, earned giggles and guffaws at the United Nations last month with his mass appeal diatribe ridiculing President Bush as the devil. Mr. Chávez said he could still smell the telltale scent of sulfur on the General Assembly rostrum where Mr. Bush had spoken the day before. Now it appears that Mr. Chávez’s histrionic performance — styled to win him support from the United States’ many detractors at the United Nations — may have cost his country the seat on the Security Council that he has conducted a global campaign to win. Developing nations make up a vast majority of the 192 countries in the General Assembly and generally warm to rants against Washington. But they also value the United Nations as a place where their voices can be heard in a dignified setting, and both supporters and detractors here say Mr. Chávez may have miscalculated in turning it into his bully pulpit. Delegates said they also feared that the performance demonstrated the kind of behavior Venezuela might bring to the orderly confines of the Council chamber. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Geneva ]
From: um, well | Registered: Feb 2003
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Minus Habens
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posted 25 October 2006 06:19 AM
That is an interesting possibility.I don't know anhyone who is at the UN. But years ago, I did know an interpreter, a good friend of the family, and my father knew a few people from the Belgian and the Canadian delegations. I also remember a supper at dad's house where he had invited an acquaintance who had worked in the peacekeeping office in New York in some capacity the details of which I forget. From them, I gathered in general that delegations do prefer others who can work together behind the scenes and who can respect the code of diplomatic protocol publicly. So maybe, Chavez's speech alienated various national delegations by appearing to be "over-the-top" or the equivalent of unparliamentary in UN terms. After all, had Venezuela been elected, it would have had to work together with other members of the Security Council and some delegations may have been wondering whether Venezuela would be capable of that after the recent ourbursts of rhetoric. What may have hurt his chances were less the attacks on the US, but his frontal verbal assault on the UN itself. The entire incident, to me, shows the huge difference between "politics" as in playing to the home audience on the one hand and diplomacy on the other. Many countries may have been thinking: we want to work with the UN, we want the UN to be functional, if this man hates the UN system so much, why does he insist on being elected to its highest body? There was something a bit off in his speech on that score. I am sure the Latin American countries wil be able to come up with a very acceptable alternative country to speak for them on the Council. I would root for Argentina myself, if they would be willing to throw their hat into the ring - they are very internationalist in their diplomacy and they are neither too pro-this or too anti-that. Or maybe a small nation like Costa Rica. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Minus Habens ]
From: I have left Babble | Registered: Oct 2006
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Minus Habens
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posted 25 October 2006 06:37 AM
In diplomacy terms, yes. This is what various delegations are saying to the press. Some countries, for example, Tanzania, among quite a few others, have complained about Chavez's sppech, in particular his attacks against the United Nations itself. That rubbed many countries the wrong way and sowed doubts about the kind of Security Council member Venezuela would be.The fear appears to be a return to the kind of angry rhetorical jousting and paralysis of the Council seen during the Cold War. My feeling is that people, and the UN delegations themselves, want a Council that can work effectively, and that can also rein in the USA in some manner. If the Council bcomes an international version of Ottawa's Question Period circus, that serves no one.
From: I have left Babble | Registered: Oct 2006
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Abdul_Maria
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Babbler # 11105
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posted 25 October 2006 07:23 AM
Chavez' speech was kind of a Rohrschach test.he tells the truth a lot more often than, for example the American Democrats who condemn him, like Nancy Pelosi. in 2 weeks, can i hold my nose and vote for Pelosi? it will be very difficult. of course, that's more because of her support for the Iraq war and her statement that a Bush impeachment is off the table. it sounds like his UN speech may have damaged V's chances to be on the Security Council.
From: San Fran | Registered: Nov 2005
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Minus Habens
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posted 25 October 2006 08:05 AM
There is a more profound issue at hand than that one speech though that attracted all the attention. It has to do with Venezuelan diplomatic strategy in general.One of the problems the speech illustrated is the hollowing out or the impoverishment of Caracas' diplomacy in the past few years. The diplomatic corps has been purged of many of the career diplomats and replacements have been recruited quickly, often more for their ideological leanings as opposed to people being promoted from within based on the merit principle that a modern civil service should be based on. This is one comment made in diplomatic circles and in publications like the Ottawa-based Embassy journal that cover foreign relations and diplomacy. In other words, many of the people currently in the Chavez diplomatic corps are comparative novices or amateurs and they may have misjudged and miscalculated how the speech would be received. Any diplomatic corps has a role of providing its government with impartial advice - that advice may not have been reaching Caracas, or may not have been given at all. The UN has more supporters than detractors in the General Assembly; any experienced diplomatic corps or foreign service would have been able to advise the Venezuelan president than a histrionic speech, in particular one that attacked the UN system itself, would be seen either as a mistake or at minimum would give create serious doubts and misgivings in the minds of many delegations. Other recent mistakes of Venezuelan diplomatic policy that have raised eyebrows in many diplomatic circles include Venezuela voting on UN human rights bodies to protect authoritarian governments like those of Belarus, Iran, Zimbabwe and Sudan from being investigated for various human rights abuse allegations. So, we may be witnessing not so much a big backlash against Chaveista diplomacy, but a questioning, or the beginnings of doubts about what it is really about. The man may have overplayed his hand and may have to moderate his approach a little. P.S. The previous poster has alluded to something that is also raising more and more eyebrows in foreign policy circles, and that is Venezuela's public interference in the internal affairs of other states, especially in Latin America. Chavez is of course not a big imperialist like the United States can be and has been in Latin America for decades, but to many he is looking like a mini-imperialist caudillo. Mini-imperialist for lack of a better term. The Latin Americans I know resent interference by the Big Brother US. They are not about to accept interference from Little Brother. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Minus Habens ]
From: I have left Babble | Registered: Oct 2006
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Gollygee
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Babbler # 13258
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posted 25 October 2006 08:28 AM
quote: Originally posted by Minus Habens: .The Latin Americans I know resent interference by the Big Brother US. They are not about to accept interference from Little Brother. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Minus Habens ]
You'd have to know a lot of Latin americans to make any generalities. I will, however, venture into one generality and it's hearing Latin Americans resent being lumped into some large monolithic block. A buddy of mine is from el Salvador and he says that el Salvador, except for the fact it is Spanish in language, is no more like Chile than it is like Canada. We don't lump Jamaica in with Canada as to 'what people think' because they speak English and have a British colonial history.
From: Creston, BC | Registered: Sep 2006
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Geneva
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Babbler # 3808
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posted 25 October 2006 08:30 AM
like confusing Quebec, Nunavut and Alberta on the other hand, there IS a strongly pan-continental nationalism: I recall a song sung by UNAM students in Mexico City, "Soy latino-americano, yo soy Latino ... de Rio Bravo a Tierra del Fuego ."" meaning: Mexico, Argentina, Whatever, we are all in this together [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Geneva ]
From: um, well | Registered: Feb 2003
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West Coast Greeny
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Babbler # 6874
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posted 25 October 2006 08:49 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel: And thanks for that brief lesson on diplomacy and sovereignty from the U.S. multinational-occupied state of Alberta. Keep the oil flowing south, and maybe you'll receive another "prosperity" cheque-bribe in the mail.GUATEMALA??? Whada'n icehole! [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Fidel ]
Why is it whenever we bring up Venezuela you bring up Guatemala? (or Alberta)
From: Ewe of eh. | Registered: Sep 2004
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Fidel
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 5594
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posted 25 October 2006 08:57 AM
quote: Originally posted by West Coast Greeny:
Why is it whenever we bring up Venezuela you bring up Guatemala? (or Alberta)
Because Guatemala has also made a bid for UNSC membership recently?. It's been in the news for weeks. And Alberta? - just a running joke among socialists shrewd and business-like enough not to let big oil companies siphon-off the national wealth while bribing serfs with 40 pieces of silver once in a while. What did your last personal news servant die of, btw ?. Viva la revolucion! [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Fidel ]
From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004
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VanLuke
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Babbler # 7039
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posted 25 October 2006 09:23 AM
quote: the equivalent of unparliamentary in UN terms.
As in referring to one's former companion as a dog in the House of Commons? Or challenging somebody in the House for a fight "if he has the gonads"? Or firecrackers in the House? Or ... or ... I listened to the whole speech. (Have you MH?) In spite of the histrionics - and definitely having overdone it re the devil and the smell of sulfur IMO - I didn't get a sense of disrespect for the UN. (Maybe because I'm Canadian? ) And as to 'everybody' knowing about GWB, that may well be the case on Babble, but is this true of the gazzillions worldwide who only have newspapers or radio news to learn about the rest of the world? People who have nothing as source for news but the equivalent of the infoganda machine that the CBC has become? [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: VanLuke ]
From: Vancouver BC | Registered: Oct 2004
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Yiwah
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Babbler # 13325
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posted 25 October 2006 10:10 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel: And thanks for that brief lesson on diplomacy and sovereignty from the U.S. multinational-occupied state of Alberta. Keep the oil flowing south, and maybe you'll receive another "prosperity" cheque-bribe in the mail.GUATEMALA??? Whada'n icehole! [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Fidel ]
Hmmm, what unfounded assumptions are you making about me, I wonder?Don't talk to me about prosperity, when I come from a people who are about 60 nations away from the kind of prosperity the 'average' Canadian supposedly enjoys. Diplomatic relations between Chile and Venezuela have definately soured (keep in mind that Chile's President, Bachelet was herself a victim of torture and her father was murdered by Pinochet's thugs, and she is not right wing), and other South American nations are getting antsy, even the left ones. I'm not talking about the selective reporting in English-language papers that badly mistranslate Chavez's Spanish speeches for political gain. Chavez, or his diplomatic representatives have pissed a lot of people off by doing strange or extreme things, or making extreme accusations towards those that could be his allies. I'm glad he's there though...South American left-wing politics are failry moderate, and he manages to keep things from going too centrist...but he needs to balance that with not totally alienating his neighbours. By the way, Venezuela recently offered to withdraw and support Bolivia as a candidate...I wonder how the votes would go with this change? Spanish language article [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Fidel
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Babbler # 5594
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posted 25 October 2006 10:21 AM
quote: Originally posted by Yiwah:
Hmmm, what unfounded assumptions are you making about me, I wonder?
I think it was this that got me steamed a little: quote: [qbI'll tell you what it HASN'T done, and that is to help set up troops along the borders of Bolivia, the frontiers of which lay along the borders of five other nations. Other South American nations are getting very tired of Venezuela...[/qb]
Guatemala is a thirdworld democratic capitalist, U.S.-friendly sh!thole that allows former right-wing death squad leaders, trained at the School of the Americas, to run around that country free as birds while women are still being terrorized by "former" death squad members while its children living in grinding, abject poverty. Ya, we're tired of reading about those things in repressive little Guatemala. Meanwhile, millions of Venezuelans are seeing doctors for the first time in their lives. Donald "the Don" Rumsfeld, the fascist bastard, announced millions in aid for Latin America's militaries several months ago. Venezuela hasn't imposed on anyone's national sovereignty. But the U.S. does have a recent history of doing exactly that and threatening Chavez with military coups, as well as removing democratically-elected leaders. Get off it already, because you're not making any sense. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Fidel ]
From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004
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Yiwah
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 13325
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posted 25 October 2006 10:27 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel:
Guatemala is a thirdworld democratic capitalist, U.S.-friendly sh!thole that allows former right-wing death squad leaders, trained at the School of the Americas, to run around that country free as birds while women are still being terrorized by "former" death squad members while its children living in grinding, abject poverty. Ya, we're tired of reading about those things in repressive little Guatemala. Meanwhile, millions of Venezuelans are seeing doctors for the first time in their lives.
You're preaching to the choir here. Morally, I don't understand how there could even be a choice here, but politics are a cynical business, and Chavez is often seen as somewhat of a destabilising force in South America. I think it has a lot to do with the fact that the revolutionary model has been all but rejected in the majority of South America, either purposefully or because their hands have been tied by outside forces (think Lula and the IMF). Politics are a lot more left in South America that was the case just a decade ago, but practically speaking, most South American governments are still just slightly left of centre.
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Yiwah
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 13325
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posted 25 October 2006 10:38 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel: Well when Venezuela carpet bombs another nation to smithereens and justified with lies and propaganda, or begins repressing its own people with right-wing death squads trained at the Skool of the Americas, maybe I'll look back on your little post here and admit you told us so. Until then, fuck off!~
Uh-huh. So basically, you want to ignore the political realities of the situation because you support Venezuela. I didn't realise you were just talking about 'how it should be' instead of 'here is how it is'. The first is obvious. I love the lateral violence here among lefties...and the ridiculous assumptions you continue to seem to make about my position on the matter. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Yiwah
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posted 25 October 2006 10:44 AM
quote: Originally posted by M. Spector: [QB]This thread is rife with bullshit.We're being asked to believe that the defeat of Venezuela in the UN is all about diplomacy, when in fact we all know it's about power and politics. It's about the ability of the United States to get what it wants at the UN, by arm-twisting, threats, and bribery.
In many ways, you're talking about the same thing here. The main motivation for Chile to NOT support Venezuela in this is that it has developed fairly good ties with the US. Diplomacy is ALWAYS about the big boy on the block. Diplomacy is about money and power. You can say whatever you like when you have that money and power...when you don't, you need to choose your words, and allies carefully. Chavez desperately needs time to complete his Bolivarian revolution...radical changes can be undone in a moment if the government is toppled and drifts to the right. Luckily, he has some allies, but those allies are not powerful enough to ensure that he will be given the time he needs. So though he may be loathe to pander to the undecided, or the centrists, and he needs to balance his beliefs with political reality so as not to be subsumed, he is going to need to play the game a little with the South American nations that are somewhat suspicious of him.
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Yiwah
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Babbler # 13325
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posted 25 October 2006 10:59 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel: Maybe you should be more concerned with Washington's known history for fomenting military coups against democratically-elected socialists in South America. US liaisons with South American military dictatorships which have committed human rights atrocities IS the geopolitical legacy throughout Latin America. You can quit sounding like a stooge for U.S. imperialism anytime now.
Hon, my husband is Chilean, and his uncle was kidnapped, tortured, murdered and dumped into the sea in 74. You can stop thinking that I am any sort of stooge anytime now. I am well aware of the history of the US in relation to Latin America. However, you seem to be reading things into my words that simply aren't there.The fact is, Guatemala represents less of a regional threat than Venezuela precisely because it kowtows to Washington. It makes total political sense to side with Guatemala over Venezuela when the political goal is maintaining relationships with the US. That doesn't mean it's right. Welcome to life. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ] [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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VanLuke
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posted 25 October 2006 11:05 AM
quote: Originally posted by M. Spector: This thread is rife with bullshit.
I think in part this is because Chavez polarises different "camps". "Chavez" has been among my google news alerts for months and I get a variety of hits from very right wing anti-Chavez Venezuelan sources to very pro-Chavez Venezuelan and outside sources, inlcuding (largely unfriendly, even before the UN speech) US media, Prensa Latina and others. Some see him as the devil incarnate, others as a saviour from US imperialism. It's not easy to decide where "the truth" lies. Think Castro: Are there middle of the road opinions or just pro and con? But when I read the obviously exaggerated statements by the extreme anti-Chavez people I have no difficulty to decide where "the truth" lies. Last but not least: Why does he keep winning elections and referenda? Is there anybody in the West who has won that many elections/referenda in a row?
From: Vancouver BC | Registered: Oct 2004
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Yiwah
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Babbler # 13325
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posted 25 October 2006 11:09 AM
quote: Originally posted by M. Spector: Since never. But anti-Chavistas used to be a tiny minority on babble. Now it seems there are many here who are prepared to dump on Chavez as soon as the NYT gives the signal.
I don't see it as unusual in the left generally...just consider how even among the leftwing there are very strong opinions both for and against Castro and the Cuban model. Everything should be considered as being non-absolute...and dialogue is good...but I do wish that some of the people yapping about these nations actually visit them and gain a more real perspective. I also think it is interesting to see how the western centrist/right media has dealt with Evo Morales compared to Chavez. Where have all the dire predictions about Evo gone to? [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Yiwah
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posted 25 October 2006 11:16 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fidel:
When did Chile drop support of Venezuela for UNSC?.
Chile 'abstained'. But they were very vocal about it, and the vote came directly on the heels of the ejection of the Venezuelan ambassador (the one who accused Bachelet's party of being involved in the coup attempt). I doubt highly that the two incidents are unrelated. There were riots in the streets after the Venezuelan ambassador's accusations, and immense political fallout, not to mention how personally offensive the accusation would have been to a woman who has been intimately acquainted with coup d'etats.Since it was a secret vote, there was no need to announce that Chile would abstain...except to make a point. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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Yiwah
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posted 25 October 2006 11:30 AM
quote: anti-Chavistas used to be a tiny minority on babble. Now it seems there are many here who are prepared to dump on Chavez as soon as the NYT gives the signal.[/QB]
I also thought it was very clear...absent money and power, those on the left wing need to be angels in order not to be demonised...and as far as I've seen, there hasn't been a left-wing leader in history that managed to live up to this ridiculous standard. Great evils can be committed by the right wing as long as they say, 'we tried our best', but you make one wrong move on the left, and the comparisons to Stalin begin... To the right, only the results matter. But when judging the left, results are nothing, only the methods are important. However, in reviewing this thread, I don't see the dire condemnations you've alluded to. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Yiwah ]
From: Alberta | Registered: Oct 2006
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VanLuke
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 7039
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posted 25 October 2006 11:57 AM
quote: Originally posted by Yiwah: Great evils can be committed by the right wing as long as they say, 'we tried our best', but you make one wrong move on the left, and the comparisons to Stalin begin...
Not to mention the meaning of "The Axis Of Evil". (The devil?) Chavez speaking in an interview with an American journalist about the "undiplomatic" nature of his devil remark http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=huDeRSVKq30&NR
From: Vancouver BC | Registered: Oct 2004
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VanLuke
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 7039
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posted 25 October 2006 03:28 PM
quote: Originally posted by Gollygee: They fail repeatedly through arm-twisting, or other means to win more than a miniscule of support on many foreign policy issues such as those involving Israel
Most certainly not! At least not where it counts, that is after the veto or in the Security Council. (The General Assembly is mainly a debating club.) Aren't we still waiting for Res 242 to be implemented? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_242 Nice try though. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: VanLuke ]
From: Vancouver BC | Registered: Oct 2004
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Frustrated Mess
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posted 25 October 2006 03:31 PM
quote: The USA has little influence on the voting of many of the 190 plus members of the UN. They fail repeatedly through arm-twisting, or other means to win more than a miniscule of support on many foreign policy issues such as those involving Israel or Cuba. they have 'some' influence on who will be a temporary member of the council but not enough to make a great difference if members were in favour of Venezuela.
What a stooge. So why is it the alternative is a torture state closely associated with the US? Didn't the US engineer the election of Koffie Anann? And now the Korean guy? Wake up already. Oh, and when Chavez gave that sppech he, "generated the loudest burst of applause for a world leader at the summit," according to the Washington Post. Suddenly now they didn't appreciate it all, huh? Go back and apologize for the 600,000 Iraqis murdered for imperialism. You're better at that. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: Frustrated Mess ]
From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005
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Gollygee
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Babbler # 13258
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posted 25 October 2006 04:59 PM
quote: Originally posted by VanLuke:
Most certainly not! At least not where it counts, that is after the veto or in the Security Council. (The General Assembly is mainly a debating club.) Aren't we still waiting for Res 242 to be implemented? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_242
Nice try though. [ 25 October 2006: Message edited by: VanLuke ]
Nice try but wrong. The VERY REASON they need to use the veto is that they don't get the votes necesary in the General Assembly. they have actually lost vote of 160 or so to 3 with a few abstaning on issues like Cuba. In the last couple decades the USA has 'got it's way' less than other members of the security council in sharp contrast to the first decades of the UN when the USA did not need to use it's veto
From: Creston, BC | Registered: Sep 2006
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N.Beltov
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posted 26 October 2006 10:30 AM
Near as I can tell, the chosen US candidate is still Guatamala. Guatamala is the original banana republic and has a long history of US interference going back to the violent overthrow of the democratically elected Jacabo Arbenz Guzman government. Arbenz moved towards local control over resources by nationalizing the United Fruit Company. Problem was, the head of the CIA was also high up in the United Fruit Company. So Arbenz was eliminated and more malleable puppets put in place. Since that time, one of the pro-US regimes decided to firebomb the Spanish Embassy where peaceful indigenous protestors were sheltered. The Guatamalan government succeeded in murdering BY INCINERATION 39 protestors and allegedly shot all those who tried to leave the burning building. I believe there were Spanish diplomatic staff casualties as well - needless to say, the Spanish Government was outraged. This is the sort of regime the US wants on the Human Rights Council. In contrast, the Venezuelan government has been carrying out all sorts of policies biased in favour of the poor - including poor people in the US itself made homeless by natural disaster, etc. There's no comparison. [ 26 October 2006: Message edited by: N.Beltov ]
From: Vancouver Island | Registered: May 2003
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Fidel
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posted 26 October 2006 05:24 PM
quote: Originally posted by N.Beltov: Near as I can tell, the chosen US candidate is still Guatamala. Guatamala is the original banana republic and has a long history of US interference going back to the violent overthrow of the democratically elected Jacabo Arbenz Guzman government. Arbenz moved towards local control over resources by nationalizing the United Fruit Company. Problem was, the head of the CIA was also high up in the United Fruit Company. So Arbenz was eliminated and more malleable puppets put in place. ... There's no comparison.
No comment, just that the whole post was spot on. Yours too, M. Spector. I don't believe Chavez had any real intentions toward actually gaining a seat in the Security Council. I think Chavez realized he is the object of Washington's affection since the CIA-sponsored military-business coup attempt against him in 2002. Pick me, I'm the guy ?. Don't think so. Chavez knows the UN is a Washington-dominated farce. I think Chavez may put out feelers for enthusiastic nations interested in the creation a southern hemispheric United Nations. Either that, or the UN may allow Venezuela and Guatemala to share a two year non-permanent seat in the council. Apparently it's been done before and would allow the U.S. to deflect criticisms that the UN is undemocratic and biased toward U.S. agendas. It's all a charade anyway.
From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004
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