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Author Topic: Why don't the Gulfies pull the finger out?
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 11:00 AM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The gulf states contain most of the world's oil. The gulf monarchs therefore have a massive amount of power over the United States and by extension Israel. They have the power to shake the foundations of the American way of life. To grab the American power elite by its economic balls and pull. So why don't they? Why can't all Al thani and Prince Abdullah and all of the other despots in that part of the Middle East just refuse to give any more oil to the United States. Isn't it obvious to them that they could help the Lebanese by doing this?

[ 16 July 2006: Message edited by: CMOT Dibbler ]


From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 16 July 2006 11:26 AM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The answer is obvious.

Anyone who threatens to take away America's oil automatically becomes an enemy and a "fair" target for war and regime change. All the more so since the loss of mideast oil sources would cause catastrophic economic and social disorder in the USA.

Woe betide the oil sheik who tries to take your advice.

There are no shortcuts to resolving the Palestinian cause.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
otter
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posted 16 July 2006 01:51 PM      Profile for otter        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This thread starts with the assumption that there are a whole bunch of sheiks that are opposed to these conflicts. But, in fact, it is well within their own self-interests to see the conflicts continue indefinitely so that they can reap even more profits and, thereby, exert even more power and control within their own borders.

But M. Spector is right, and i suspect that if the 'evildoers' ever figures out that it is the sheiks themselves that they need to target, then there might well be a dramatic shift in thinking in the area.

[ 16 July 2006: Message edited by: otter ]


From: agent provocateur inc. | Registered: Feb 2006  |  IP: Logged
Odin
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posted 16 July 2006 02:05 PM      Profile for Odin     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Because the vast majority of the oil supplied to the USA does not come from Gulf states. Plus, the Saudi Royal Family cares more about $$$ and power than politics.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/rankings/crudebycountry.htm

Canada is the largest supplier of foreign oil (and just think how cheap gas would be with a nationalized gas network. And the gov't could impose efficiency regulations on cars without the oil industry complaining).


From: Greater Vancouver | Registered: Jul 2006  |  IP: Logged
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 02:09 PM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Anyone who threatens to take away America's oil automatically becomes an enemy and a "fair" target for war and regime change.

Couldn't it be argued that since the American Military industrial complex runs on oil, refusing to sell Bush oil would cause the whole thing to shut down, thus making it impossible for the Americans to change the governments of the sheikdoms?

Doesn't the U.S. only have seven years of oil held in reserve?


From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
Bobolink
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posted 16 July 2006 03:10 PM      Profile for Bobolink   Author's Homepage        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Actually, that was done in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. The Gulf states cut off all petroleum shipment to the west. It didn't work. The Gulf states have never been a large supplier of oil to North America. What the embargo did do was stimulate the development of the North Sea oil fields.
From: Stirling, ON | Registered: May 2004  |  IP: Logged
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 03:53 PM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
But the north sea is running out of oil. Surely that would increase the chance of a tactic like that working now.
From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 04:18 PM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
If that is indeed the case why did M. specter say that the loss of mid east oil would cause
"catastrophic economic and social disorder in the USA."
quote:
The Gulf states have never been a large supplier of oil to North America?

[ 16 July 2006: Message edited by: CMOT Dibbler ]


From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
Frustrated Mess
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posted 16 July 2006 04:31 PM      Profile for Frustrated Mess   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Why don't the Gulfies pull the finger out?

In general, they are a bunch of gutless, bloodless, useless, dictators of brutal regimes backed by Western military force without the support of their subjects and who could care not one bit about other Arabs except to the extent necessary to maintain the laughable charade called "Arab unity".

From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 04:56 PM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Are there any exceptions to that rule? What about the king of baraihn
From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged
M. Spector
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posted 16 July 2006 05:11 PM      Profile for M. Spector   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Bahrain does not supply any appreciable amount of oil to the US.

Saudi Arabia, however, supplies about 15% of the oil consumed by the US - almost as much as Canada does. A loss of 15% of its oil supply for any length of time would cause chaos in the USA, because there is no readily available alternative source for that much oil.

Even if the Saudis and the Bush family were not best buds, and even if they didn't have a very real economic interest in the continuation of the conflicts, the Saudis would never risk their own safety by trying to extort peace in the Middle East from the USA.


From: One millihelen: The amount of beauty required to launch one ship. | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
ghlobe
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posted 16 July 2006 06:10 PM      Profile for ghlobe        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by M. Spector:
Bahrain does not supply any appreciable amount of oil to the US.


If I remember correctly, Bahrain is not an oil exporter. Bahrain's oil reserves were pretty much exhausted in 70s if I am not mistaken.

From: Ottawa | Registered: Jun 2006  |  IP: Logged
Bubbles
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posted 16 July 2006 06:51 PM      Profile for Bubbles        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Well, Canada could stop its oil supply, it probably would be better not to say that we do it in support of a Middle East solution. But we could frame it around US sopport for Kyoto. It would make it easier for us to get proactive about it too. It is risky, because it could put more pressure on Mid-East oil. But maybe the Arabs could frame an oil cut around Kyoto too. After all the environment is by far the bigger problem. If we can co-operate on that then solving the conflicts in the M.E. might not be so difficult after all.
From: somewhere | Registered: Feb 2003  |  IP: Logged
ceti
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posted 16 July 2006 06:58 PM      Profile for ceti     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The gulf states are basically military hostages of the US. And, they really don't care about poor Palestinians which are only poor labourers in their countries anyways.

Basically, all the Arab countries are either in a weak position or are totally subservient to the US. They can push forward resolutions, but when push comes to shove, the shadows of the US's Fifth and Sixth Fleets looms large.


From: various musings before the revolution | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
Frustrated Mess
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posted 16 July 2006 07:05 PM      Profile for Frustrated Mess   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Actually, it is the shadows of thier own people without benefit of the fifth fleet in the background that really scares them.
From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
CMOT Dibbler
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posted 16 July 2006 08:17 PM      Profile for CMOT Dibbler     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
The gulf states are basically military hostages of the US...

Did that situation exsist in 1973?


From: Just outside Fernie, British Columbia | Registered: May 2003  |  IP: Logged

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