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Author Topic: Whatever happened to monetarism?
Debra
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 117

posted 27 February 2002 08:37 PM      Profile for Debra   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Story

quote:
Essentially it was simple. The guru of monetarism, the Chicago economist Milton Friedmann, told us the answer to inflation was to stop printing so much money. The idea caught on. Friedmann himself won a Nobel Prize. Governments proclaimed that they had been converted to monetarism; Margaret Thatcher took to it like a revivalist preacher. She denounced the previous orthodoxy - Keynesianism - with the zeal of a Free Kirk minister inveighing against Rome.

Now nobody mentions the word. That might be, of course, because the medicine worked. Inflation is - it seems - a disease under control.

But there is another reason. Essentially monetarism might have been a simple doctrine, but there was, and is, one difficulty. How do you measure it? One definition had money being the total of notes and coins in circulation. This was even then inadequate, and now seems senseless, since most financial transactions of any size (except those in pubs and bars) are made without recourse to banknotes or coins of the realm. We now have electronic money, and what it represents, few really know.



From: The only difference between graffiti & philosophy is the word fuck... | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
DrConway
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Babbler # 490

posted 28 February 2002 01:56 PM      Profile for DrConway     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The econ textbooks these days do mention the difficulty of measuring M1, M2, M3 etc and how monies can move between the various M-whatevers and thus introduce biases into the measurement of the money supply. But inflation is ultimately a monetary phenomenon.

As well, Great Britain, the country most ardently devoted to monetarism in the 1980s, found that while inflation fell, unemployment zoomed up and output zigged and zagged.

In the USA, Paul Volcker used monetarism as a cover to induce the 1982 recession, but quietly abandoned it by 1983, and Reagan's cut-taxes-and-increase-spending doctrine was a weird variety of Keynesianism.

Canada today, however, is one of the last bastions of monetarist thought, living in the minds of people like John Crow, Gordon Thiessen and David Dodge.


From: You shall not side with the great against the powerless. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Ron Webb
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Babbler # 2256

posted 28 February 2002 02:41 PM      Profile for Ron Webb     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The trouble with monetarism is that too many rich people, especially bankers and investors, "earn" (if that's the right word) their living by expanding the money supply. Much as they dislike inflation, which eats away at the value of old money, they equally dislike anything that limits their ability to create new money.

So IMHO we've moved beyond monetarism, but we haven't returned to Keynes either. We pretty allow the private sector to create as much new money as they want (reserve requirements are either ridiculously low or totally non-existent); but we don't allow the public sector (i.e., ourselves) the same privilege, because that would be "inflationary".


From: Winnipeg | Registered: Feb 2002  |  IP: Logged
rasmus
malcontent
Babbler # 621

posted 28 February 2002 04:31 PM      Profile for rasmus   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Brussels wins new allies for monetarist relic

quote:
Two conclusions can be drawn from last week's spat between Gordon Brown and the European commission over fiscal policy. The first is that the stability and growth pact is in tatters. The second is that those who should be supporting the demise of this monetarist relic risk being on the wrong side of the argument.
The arguments used to defend the pact are not new. Sir Geoffrey Howe was fully acquainted with them when in the spring of 1981 he tightened fiscal policy during the depths of Britain's worst post-war recession.
This was monetarism's moment. Howe justified the budget squeeze by arguing that higher deficits would lead to an increase in the money supply. That, according to Milton Friedman's disciples, meant higher inflation. They hailed the chancellor's action as a wise move which yoked together the two central pillars of monetarism: controlling the money supply and balancing the budget. Growth started to pick up shortly afterwards. QED.

From: Fortune favours the bold | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged

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