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Author Topic: Greatest threat to Iranian regime is internal
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 11:35 AM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
"Internal political divisions and economic weaknesses may present a bigger threat to the longevity of the Iranian government of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad than the US and Israeli air forces combined".

The report suggests the external world engage thru diplomacy and exchanges to help the reformers and anti-Ahmadinejad political forces gain more space within Iran.

The kooky Holocaust-denier President is much less powerful than often reported in the media, his base being the hardline fundmanentalist groups and paramilitaries who can offer the burgeoning population little in terms of wanted freedoms, economic gains or stability.

Article on Iran from Guardian


From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 01:12 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The Iranian president hasn't denied the holocaust--that's a distortion of his actual remarks.

WHat he said (depending on the translator's interpretation) is that the existance of the holocause is being used 'mythically' by Israel as justification for criminal acts. That's an absolutely correct observation.

In english, the word myth has a technical as well as a vernacular definition. To scholars, the term means something like 'potent story', while often in common use it means "false story'.

Myths--potent stories--can be either true of false.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
GT Snowracer
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posted 21 April 2006 01:12 PM      Profile for GT Snowracer        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Agreed.... absolutely

Its a lost nation with captive citizens

GT


From: In the echo chamber | Registered: Apr 2006  |  IP: Logged
GT Snowracer
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posted 21 April 2006 01:17 PM      Profile for GT Snowracer        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
S1m0n.... really lets be honest.

Iran is funding massive research to debunk the Holacaust, there is no defending their leaders intent by playing with semantics...

Be real
GT


From: In the echo chamber | Registered: Apr 2006  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 01:24 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by GT Snowracer:
S1m0n.... really lets be honest.

Iran is funding massive research to debunk the Holacaust, there is no defending their leaders intent by playing with semantics...

Be real
GT


Of course, you have some evidence of this, right?


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 01:30 PM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
No, he actually came right out and denied the Holocaust happened. That is pretty much established. It was at a public conference covered in all the major local and European press - I read the statements in British, French, German and other media.

Many Iranians, for this and other reasons, economic and political, think he is not good for their country.


From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 01:33 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Critical Mass2:
No, he actually came right out and denied the Holocaust happened. That is pretty much established. It was at a public conference covered in all the major local and European press - I read the statements in British, French, German and other media.

Many Iranians, for this and other reasons, economic and political, think he is not good for their country.


Yeah, that's the way it got reported, all right.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
GT Snowracer
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posted 21 April 2006 01:36 PM      Profile for GT Snowracer        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
S1mon.... drop it and deal with some reality.

The comments are on the record, done and done. Many Iranians internally aren't nearly as delusional as you are sounding. They can at least admit that there is a huge problem with their leaders motives.

GT


From: In the echo chamber | Registered: Apr 2006  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 01:38 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by GT Snowracer:
S1mon.... drop it and deal with some reality.

The comments are on the record, done and done.


So you can't actually support your contention?


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 01:47 PM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The article discusses a possible diplomatic and political approach to avoid war. And to isolate the hardline forces within the current leadership group that is taking Iran on the path to greater dictatorship and international isolation.

The Holocaust denial by the current Iranian President on a number of occasions is just one element in the overal picture, revealing though it may be.

I think the article is the topic of the thread, not the proven actions of Holocaust denial that have led to unanimous and repeated diplomatic protests by the EU and the UN Secretary General, among others - I am sure their translation services are among the best in the world.


From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
GT Snowracer
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posted 21 April 2006 01:50 PM      Profile for GT Snowracer        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Um yeah, consult any news agency other than the Tehran press. Any other... or has the entire world press been duped?

Iran doesn't have freedom of press so what would you expect them to produce?

I think I would ask you to support your assertions before I waste anymore time on you thanks.

GT


From: In the echo chamber | Registered: Apr 2006  |  IP: Logged
unionist
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posted 21 April 2006 01:56 PM      Profile for unionist     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
As the child of Holocaust survivors, I admit to having a sensitive spot for anti-semitic comments, theories, and actions.

I have no use for theocratic backward regimes of any stripe. But you know, I didn't see a convincing report quoting the Iranian president denying that Jews were butchered by the Nazis and their collaborators in obscene numbers.

What I did see and hear was a lot of anti-Israeli and anti-Zionist rhetoric. That's very different, except for those who like to invoke the Holocaust as moral and emotional blackmail against critics of Israel and Zionism.

What I find particularly ironic is the feigned horror at Iran's actions and comments by various European states which have never fully, finally and completely come to terms with their own role in sending my family members to their death. Iranian soil is not stained by Jewish blood as theirs is. They should watch whom they're criticizing.


From: Vote QS! | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 02:13 PM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Obviously, every single UN and EU translator is incompetent.

OK, I'm out of here.

[ 21 April 2006: Message edited by: Critical Mass2 ]


From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
GT Snowracer
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posted 21 April 2006 02:23 PM      Profile for GT Snowracer        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/60AE1720-F333-4869-974D-3B69283105BF.htm

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Iranian president, has again caused international outcry by repeating his view that the Holocaust was a myth.


In a speech broadcast live on state television on Wednesday, Ahmadinejad told a crowd in the southern city of Zahedan: "They have fabricated a legend under the name Massacre of the Jews, and they hold it higher than God himself, religion itself and the prophets themselves.

"If somebody in their country questions God, nobody says anything, but if somebody denies the myth of the massacre of Jews, the Zionist loudspeakers and the governments in the pay of Zionism will start to scream."

Try reading Al Jazeera or Iran Focus.. (I'm not slamming ya, just look into it)
GT


From: In the echo chamber | Registered: Apr 2006  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 02:32 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by GT Snowracer:
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/60AE1720-F333-4869-974D-3B69283105BF.htm

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Iranian president, has again caused international outcry by repeating his view that the Holocaust was a myth.


In a speech broadcast live on state television on Wednesday, Ahmadinejad told a crowd in the southern city of Zahedan: "They have fabricated a legend under the name Massacre of the Jews, and they hold it higher than God himself, religion itself and the prophets themselves.

"If somebody in their country questions God, nobody says anything, but if somebody denies the myth of the massacre of Jews, the Zionist loudspeakers and the governments in the pay of Zionism will start to scream."

Try reading Al Jazeera or Iran Focus.. (I'm not slamming ya, just look into it)
GT


Yup, the massacre of the jews gets used mythically to attack zionism's enemies, and no one is allowed to deny this use.

You'll note that he is specifically comparing two myths--the Holocaust, and the existance of God, and contrasting the degree of respect each is accorded in western society.

In order to assert that he denies the holocaust, the parallel structure of these statements would force you to also assert that he is also denying the existance of Allah, a thing that--as a religious muslim--would constitue the sin of apostacy. We can be confident that this isn't what he's doing.

[ 21 April 2006: Message edited by: S1m0n ]


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
worker_drone
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posted 21 April 2006 02:41 PM      Profile for worker_drone        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
So what's Israel ever done to Iran anyways? They certainly didn't invade or occupy any Iranian land. It can't be an Arab thing, because Iranians aren't Arabs.

So why does Iran have a bee in it's bonnet about the holocaust and Israel?


From: Canada | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 02:48 PM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Could you discuss the article and its proposals for diplomatic solutions?

These attempts to argue that Holocaust denial is not really Holocaust denial are creeping me out.

P.S. I have asked the moderator to make a ruling about this thread. I now regret having tried to make a serious contribution to the debate.

[ 21 April 2006: Message edited by: Critical Mass2 ]


From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Frustrated Mess
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posted 21 April 2006 02:53 PM      Profile for Frustrated Mess   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
According to media reports Israel has been lobbying for the USA to attack Iran to remove it as a rival as a regional superpower. There is a lot of historical support for this argument. In fact, it was reported Sharon told Bush that when he invades Iraq he shold just keep on going into Iran.

It isn't Israelis dying, after all.

Understanding enmities isn't hard. It all comes down to power politics and control.


From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
oldgoat
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posted 21 April 2006 03:50 PM      Profile for oldgoat     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Critical Mass2:
Could you discuss the article and its proposals for diplomatic solutions?

These attempts to argue that Holocaust denial is not really Holocaust denial are creeping me out.

P.S. I have asked the moderator to make a ruling about this thread. I now regret having tried to make a serious contribution to the debate.

[ 21 April 2006: Message edited by: Critical Mass2 ]


CM, I don't see any Holocaust denial going on here, which would be my main concern. There is a debate on whether the President of Iran is a Holocaust denier, which seems to be hinging on some pretty fine points. I'm not offering an opinion on that.

If he is or not is really somewhat peripheral to the main thrust of the Gaurdian article, which I found interesting, and is more concerned with the best approach of the UN and Western countries; ie: diplomacy vs: force. Internal Iranian politics has been fractured along some pretty consistant lines for some generations now, and the article seems to say there's opportunity for positive engagements through a greater understanding of these tensions.


From: The 10th circle | Registered: Jul 2001  |  IP: Logged
Critical Mass2
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posted 21 April 2006 04:02 PM      Profile for Critical Mass2        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
That was the point I wanted to make, then things got derailed.
From: AKA Critical Mass or Critical Mass3 - Undecided in Ottawa/Montreal | Registered: Nov 2005  |  IP: Logged
Stockholm
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posted 21 April 2006 05:32 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
So what's Israel ever done to Iran anyways? They certainly didn't invade or occupy any Iranian land.

You're right - that was Saddam Hussein.


From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 05:39 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
What, for that matter, has Iran ever done to Israel?
From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
S1m0n
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posted 21 April 2006 05:40 PM      Profile for S1m0n        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Stockholm:

You're right - that was Saddam Hussein.


..acting at the behest of the Carter & Reagan administrations.


From: Vancouver | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
worker_drone
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posted 21 April 2006 10:20 PM      Profile for worker_drone        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
What, for that matter, has Iran ever done to Israel?

Funded and armed Palestinian militants.


From: Canada | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
clandestiny
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posted 22 April 2006 12:40 AM      Profile for clandestiny     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
both the US and Israel are nuklar powers; Iran isn't....also, it seems that the US sold Iran, under the shah, a bunch of the nuclear reactors (20 some(?)) that Iran didn't need or want- there seems to be hypocrisy here. The main problem with 'he said he said' etc though, is the pigmedia. They are liars. period. They knew Iraq was no threat to USA in '03, yet cheered on the 'war'
Consider how small Iran's military budget is: canadian nazipoohs scream about our 'neglected' military, though we spend more then Iran, which lives in the middle east, next to afghanistan and iraq!
--------------
(from the Borgen Project; probably a few years old stats)
>
Here's how political leaders are
spending the discretionary budget.
World's Largest
Military Budgets:
($U.S. Billions)
United States 416.0
Russia* 65.0
China* 47.0
Japan 42.6
U.K. 38.4
France 29.5
Germany 24.9
Saudi Arabia 21.3
Italy 19.4
India 15.6
South Korea 14.1
Brazil* 10.7
Taiwan* 10.7
Israel 10.6
Spain 8.4
Australia 7.6
Canada 7.6
Netherlands 6.6
Turkey 5.8
Mexico 5.9
Kuwait* 3.9
Ukraine 5.0
Iran 4.8
Singapore 4.8
Sweden 4.5
Egypt* 4.4
Norway 3.8
Greece 3.5
Poland 3.5
Argentina* 3.3
U.A.E.* 3.1
Colombia* 2.9
Belgium 2.7
Pakistan* 2.6
Denmark 2.4
Vietnam 2.4
North Korea 2.1
Czech Republic 1.6
Iraq 1.4
Philippines 1.4
Portugal 1.3
Libya 1.2
Hungary 1.1
Syria 1.0
Cuba 0.8
Sudan 0.6
Yugoslavia 0.7
Luxembourg 0.2
Source: www.cdi.org.
<

From: the canada's | Registered: Sep 2004  |  IP: Logged
worker_drone
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posted 22 April 2006 02:37 AM      Profile for worker_drone        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Interesting. I've no doubt that North Korea could hand Canada's ass to them in a conflict, but they're way down there at 2.1

Someone more knowledgable than me can correct me, but I'd imagine that some of the cost differences are due to transportation and 'projecting' power. Iran doesn't have an army that can be projected much beyond their current borders. Canada can't drive their army from one end of the country to the other, let along across the ocean. A navy would also up the cost considerably.

quote:
both the US and Israel are nuklar powers; Iran isn't....also, it seems that the US sold Iran, under the shah, a bunch of the nuclear reactors (20 some(?)) that Iran didn't need or want- there seems to be hypocrisy here.

You're right, there is. I don't want to see Iran get nuclear weapons but we may be reaping what we've sown by allowing any country to possess them.

I agree with the article from the Guardian. The biggest threat to the Iranian regime, or any despotic regime, is democratic change from within. Military force won't stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons. The best that could probably happen is that they develop them, and are convinced to dismantle them, like South Africa.


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Papal Bull
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posted 22 April 2006 04:05 PM      Profile for Papal Bull   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The change may not be democratic, though. A despot may spawn a despot in its place.
From: Vatican's best darned ranch | Registered: Oct 2004  |  IP: Logged

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