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Topic: Accuracy of on-line polling

Stockholm
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3138

posted 27 March 2007 06:19 PM

We had a lot of debate about the accuracy of on-line as opposed to telephone surveys. Well guess what? Angus Reid did their final poll on-line, while Leger and CROP and Strategic Counsel did all theirs by phone and guess who was the most accurate? The on-line poll by Angus Reid. All the others underestimated the ADQ by quite a bit.

http://www.angusreidstrategies.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=news&newsid=37

I am not saying that on-line polling is infallible, but before people try to dismiss any poll done on-line - it is worth noting that there is no evidence that this method is any less accurate and in fact, it may actually be more so!

[ 27 March 2007: Message edited by: Stockholm ]

From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002 | IP: Logged

pebbles
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6400

posted 27 March 2007 06:39 PM

Did Angus Reid publish their figures anywhere BEFORE the election?

From: Canada | Registered: Jul 2004 | IP: Logged

500_Apples
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 12684

posted 27 March 2007 07:55 PM

Election polling is historically unreliable in Quebec.

From: Montreal, Quebec | Registered: Jun 2006 | IP: Logged

Stockholm
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3138

posted 28 March 2007 04:41 AM

I don't think its any more unreliable in Quebec than anywhere else. in 2003, most of the final polls were dead-on. The polls were reasonably close this time too, though CROP and Leger underestimated the ADQ by a few points. Its hard to know if they were "off" or whether the ADQ gained ground in the final weekend as a result of negative reaction to Charest's tax cut pledge.

From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002 | IP: Logged

Albireo
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3052

posted 28 March 2007 08:02 PM

quote:
Originally posted by pebbles:
Did Angus Reid publish their figures anywhere BEFORE the election?

Um, yeah. Hiding in plain view on the sidebar listing of news releases at Stockholm's link.

From: --> . <-- | Registered: Sep 2002 | IP: Logged

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