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Author Topic: GOP on verge of complete collapse-Democratic realignment in America?
Rob8305
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posted 18 May 2006 04:48 PM      Profile for Rob8305     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
These numbers are stunning. Are we seeing a re-alignment towards the Democrats in American politics?

Thursday May 18, 2006 --Thirty-six percent (36%) of Americans Approve of the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President. Just 15% Strongly Approve. Those are the lowest levels ever measured by Rasmussen Reports. Just 65% of Republicans approve of the President's Job Performance, also a new low.

This data is based upon nightly telephone surveys and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. For today's update, more than 75% of respondents were interviewed after the President Bush's speech on immigration.


Just 39% of voters agree with the President's approach on immigration. Most consider the issue very important and believe that strict enforcement of immigration laws will help the economy.

Democrats now hold a 15-percentage point lead over Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot. Before the Presdent's speech, they had a 10-point lead. Just 27% of Americans believe the country is now heading in the right direction.

May 17, 2006--Following the President's Monday night speech, Democrats enjoy a 15-point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot. A Rasmussen Reports national opinion survey of 1,000 Likely Voters found that 48% would vote for the Democrat in their district if the election were held today. Just 33% would vote for the Republican.

Just 58% of conservatives say they would vote for the Republican candidate.

Two weeks ago, the Democrats had a ten-point advantage, 46% to 36%.

While the Democrats gained ground over the past two weeks, underlying views about immigration have changed little from earlier surveys.

By way of comparison, the May 1 immigrants-rights rallies had no impact on the Generic Congressional Ballot or public opinion on the immigration issue.

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters trust Democrats more on the immigration while 37% have more faith in Republicans. Among those who say the issue is very important, Republicans are preferred by a narrow 43% to 39% margin.

May 18, 2006--While George W. Bush is sinking in the polls, Senator Hillary Clinton is bouncing back. Thirty-one percent (31%) of Americans say they would definitely vote for the former First Lady if she runs for President in 2008. Just 33% will definitely vote against her.

That's a striking improvement over the past two weeks. Our last Hillary Meter poll found that just 26% would definitely vote for her while 39% would definitely vote against. In fact, the current poll results are the most positive ever recorded for Senator Clinton over the past year-and-a half (see trends).


From: Montrose | Registered: Jun 2004  |  IP: Logged
Doug
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posted 18 May 2006 08:20 PM      Profile for Doug   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I might think so if I had any confidence whatsoever that the Democrats had the ability to fully take advantage of the Bush administration's weakness without second-guessing themselves.
From: Toronto, Canada | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
Sven
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posted 18 May 2006 08:28 PM      Profile for Sven     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Doug:
I might think so if I had any confidence whatsoever that the Democrats had the ability to fully take advantage of the Bush administration's weakness without second-guessing themselves.

And, how much difference, really, would a President H. Clinton make, viz., GWB, particularly on foreign policy matters?


From: Eleutherophobics of the World...Unite!!!!! | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
Ken Burch
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posted 18 May 2006 08:49 PM      Profile for Ken Burch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Not that much, I'll agree.

Which is why millions of U.S. Democrats will do everything they can to STOP Hillary from being nominated.


From: A seedy truckstop on the Information Superhighway | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
Frustrated Mess
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posted 18 May 2006 09:11 PM      Profile for Frustrated Mess   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The Democratic establishment will do everything to ensure the party remains in the control of the GOP-lite forces. Don't expect the Democrats to suddenly awaken to a new dawn. In fact, I predict they will lose the next presidential election because they haven't the fortitude nor courage to say the Iraq war and US aggression is flat out wrong.
From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 18 May 2006 09:46 PM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think it's way premature to proclaim any sort of realignment. The Republicans are down in the polls, but they have a lot of resources at their disposal, including money, the media and a ruthlessness the Democrats cannot match. That said, they certainly are in danger of losing the House, and of ending up with a 50-50 split in the Senate.
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Michelle
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posted 18 May 2006 09:48 PM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Ken Burch:
Not that much, I'll agree.

Which is why millions of U.S. Democrats will do everything they can to STOP Hillary from being nominated.


I doubt that's why. They'll do everything they can to stop her from being nominated, and then they'll try to nominate a man who's just as bad.


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Frustrated Mess
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posted 18 May 2006 10:08 PM      Profile for Frustrated Mess   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Yeah, a man who can make killing hundreds of thousands of people seem like a sincere, humanitarian act.
From: doom without the gloom | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged
Roy_Whyte
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posted 19 May 2006 01:54 AM      Profile for Roy_Whyte   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Two words why nothing will change come 2008 - Hillary Clinton.
From: Abbotsford BC | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
Jimmy Brogan
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posted 19 May 2006 11:27 AM      Profile for Jimmy Brogan   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Interesting new red/blue maps

[ 19 May 2006: Message edited by: Jimmy Brogan ]


From: The right choice - Iggy Thumbscrews for Liberal leader | Registered: Nov 2002  |  IP: Logged
Noise
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posted 19 May 2006 03:55 PM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Hey Rob, would it be possible to give the source for those numbers? Heh, that 'see trends' appears to be a link, and I wouldn't mind reading them trends

and that is interesting Jimmy, thanks for that

[ 19 May 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
Rob8305
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posted 19 May 2006 04:19 PM      Profile for Rob8305     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Noise:
Hey Rob, would it be possible to give the source for those numbers? Heh, that 'see trends' appears to be a link, and I wouldn't mind reading them trends

and that is interesting Jimmy, thanks for that

[ 19 May 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


Oh sure Noise. Not a problem.

It's http://www.rasmussenreports.com. It's a daily tracking poll site.


From: Montrose | Registered: Jun 2004  |  IP: Logged
ceti
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posted 19 May 2006 05:36 PM      Profile for ceti     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
There was an interesting article I think in either the Globe or Star noting the Murdoch-hosted fundraiser for Hillary, and comparing it possibly to Murdoch's own realignment in support of Blair.

Also, the article notes "feverish dreams of leftists" that are now finding their way into the plots of 24 and Prison Break (evil VP implicated in terrorist attacks).


From: various musings before the revolution | Registered: Jan 2005  |  IP: Logged
Noise
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posted 19 May 2006 09:17 PM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
It's http://www.rasmussenreports.com. It's a daily tracking poll site.

Heh, I love those 'We want you to take a survey' with Uncle Sam pointing right at you. Obviously American media always manages to make me laugh

Bookmarking that, thanks

[ 19 May 2006: Message edited by: Noise ]


From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged

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