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Author Topic: Moody's threatens to cut USA's credit rating
Doug
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posted 11 January 2008 05:29 AM      Profile for Doug   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
The US is at risk of losing its top-notch triple-A credit rating within a decade unless it takes radical action to curb soaring healthcare and social security spending, Moody’s, the credit rating agency, said on Thursday.

The warning over the future of the triple-A rating – granted to US government debt since it was first assessed in 1917 – reflects growing concerns over the country’s ability to retain its financial and economic supremacy.


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/40f3a2be-bfa9-11dc-8052-0000779fd2ac.html


From: Toronto, Canada | Registered: Apr 2001  |  IP: Logged
josh
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posted 11 January 2008 05:39 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Who elected Moody's?
From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Noise
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posted 11 January 2008 05:40 AM      Profile for Noise     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
radical action to curb soaring healthcare and social security spending

Radical action to cut healthcare and social security, current military expenditures are fine though


From: Protest is Patriotism | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged
KenS
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posted 11 January 2008 05:43 AM      Profile for KenS     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Really just guessing on this, but I would think one of Moody's motivations is the shot across the bow in thier own interests as well as their role of making long term comments on everyone's debt.

Moody's doesn't want to be faced with the enormous pressure on it when the US gets REAL close to the tipping point of those T-Bill AAA ratings being suspect by anyone's standards.

They hope not to have to go there.


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josh
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posted 11 January 2008 06:17 AM      Profile for josh     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Of course, Moody's was partially responsible for the sub-prime mortgage fiasco:

http://tinyurl.com/365gno


From: the twilight zone between the U.S. and Canada | Registered: Aug 2002  |  IP: Logged
Michelle
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posted 11 January 2008 10:54 AM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Noise:

Radical action to cut healthcare and social security, current military expenditures are fine though


Exactly. Screw them.

On the other hand, though, they could lower health care spending by nationalizing health care and making it universal. A single-payer system is so much cheaper. Just ask Canada.


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Fidel
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posted 11 January 2008 11:29 AM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:

The US is at risk of losing its top-notch triple-A credit rating within a decade unless it takes radical action to curb soaring healthcare and social security spending, Moody’s, the credit rating agency, said on Thursday

Hmmm, apparently it's not half-trillion dollar spending on Pentagon capitalism putting them in a hole, it's social programs! Any excuse will do.


From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
abnormal
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posted 11 January 2008 01:54 PM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
posted by Michelle
On the other hand, though, they could lower health care spending by nationalizing health care and making it universal. A single-payer system is so much cheaper. Just ask Canada.

I doubt they're talking about "private" healthcare, whether paid for by insurance or out of individual's pockets. I read this as a direct shot at Medicare and Social Security. Both are heading for disaster - the main difference is that the Medicare problem is literally ten times the size of the Social Security problem and Medicare is going to hit the wall within the next few years (Social Security is farther out).

And if the US can't make Medicare work, how will making the program ten times larger solve the problem?


From: far, far away | Registered: Aug 2001  |  IP: Logged
Fidel
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posted 11 January 2008 02:31 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
They could try cutting the rich off welfare and closing down some of those 730 military bases and occupations of other countries, and stop maintaining so many nuclear weapons on foreign soil and the seven seas. Might help a bit. I just think think there are options other than pulling a Pinochet on social security and shovelling more money to insurance companies and the most inefficient health care system, and more money for warfiteering. But they've got to get the rich off welfare for starters.
From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
abnormal
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posted 11 January 2008 03:47 PM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Fidel, you're missing the whole point (on purpose I expect). The items you've focused on don't qualify as footnotes in Moody's analysis. They're focusing on Medicare and Social Security - both are train wrecks in the making.

While Medicare is by far the larger of the two and will blow up a lot sooner, neither will go away.

And as I said, I don't think private insurance figures in the picture. The US's credit rating is not impacted by how much private entities spend - it's only impacted by government's spending.


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RosaL
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posted 11 January 2008 04:54 PM      Profile for RosaL     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by abnormal:

if the US can't make Medicare work, how will making the program ten times larger solve the problem?


I heard David Frum (yes, him!) say today on cbc radio1 that the US government spends more per capita on health care than does the Canadian government. So making their system more like ours might indeed help.

This moody's thing is bizarre. American military spending is bankrupting them. This medicare and social security thing is just what Bush et al (probably including the democratic candidates) want to hear.


From: the underclass | Registered: Mar 2007  |  IP: Logged
Stephen Gordon
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posted 11 January 2008 05:05 PM      Profile for Stephen Gordon        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
My impression is that the Bush tax cuts are more important than the increase in military spending.

So it is indeed very, very odd that Moody's would point to reducing spending as a solution to the deficit problem, and not to reversing the tax cuts that actually caused it.


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Fidel
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posted 11 January 2008 05:30 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by abnormal:
Fidel, you're missing the whole point (on purpose I expect). The items you've focused on don't qualify as footnotes in Moody's analysis. They're focusing on Medicare and Social Security - both are train wrecks in the making.

And where else would the analysis be? Is this the same credit rating agency that said World CON and ENRONg were stable companies at start of the 2000's?

I agree with Stephen, they can't afford tax cuts for rich friends of the party. The Yanks want a labour-induced recovery and increase exports to get things turned around.

And they need a more affordable health care system to make American exports more competitive with every other country saving money with socialized medicine. The big three can compete with Toyota but not with Japan.


From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
No Yards
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posted 11 January 2008 08:24 PM      Profile for No Yards   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
They could afford public health care if they dumped most of the private health care insurance, taxed enough to cover the public insurance plus a bit to reduce the current health care spending deficit, which would still end up being a "bottom line saving" to the average tax payers' tax home salary.
From: Defending traditional marriage since June 28, 2005 | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged
brookmere
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posted 13 January 2008 01:53 AM      Profile for brookmere     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by RosaL:

I heard David Frum (yes, him!) say today on cbc radio1 that the US government spends more per capita on health care than does the Canadian government. So making their system more like ours might indeed help.



My God, David Frum actually said something that I agreed with.

That's right - government in the US (all levels) in the US already spends more per capita on health care than government in Canada. And even with the huge additional spending by the private sector in the US, they are not as healthy as us.

Is there any better illustration of the colossal waste in health care spending in the US, in both the private and public sectors?


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Michelle
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posted 13 January 2008 04:39 AM      Profile for Michelle   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by No Yards:
They could afford public health care if they dumped most of the private health care insurance, taxed enough to cover the public insurance plus a bit to reduce the current health care spending deficit, which would still end up being a "bottom line saving" to the average tax payers' tax home salary.

Exactly. If people had higher taxes to pay for their health care, but no insurance premiums to pay, then I think the majority of Americans would be better off.

And it's not like it wouldn't be good for business. Why do you think corporations whine about "competitive advantage" of places like Canada where we pay for universal health care and companies don't have to go to the expense of providing full health coverage for their employees?


From: I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell. | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Nanuq
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posted 13 January 2008 05:58 AM      Profile for Nanuq   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
I heard David Frum (yes, him!) say today on cbc radio1 that the US government spends more per capita on health care than does the Canadian government. So making their system more like ours might indeed help.

So David Frum has "discovered" something that's been common knowledge for decades? Will he "discover" fire, too?


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abnormal
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posted 13 January 2008 09:57 AM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Why do you think corporations whine about "competitive advantage" of places like Canada where we pay for universal health care and companies don't have to go to the expense of providing full health coverage for their employees?

Because the cost of healthcare is borne by the public and not the corporation and as a result their customers?

But Moody's is a private entity and will assign whatever credit rating they feel is appropriate. Of course if the US "solves" the problem Moody's will evaluate the economics of whatever solution is adopted and amend their rating accordingly.

[ 13 January 2008: Message edited by: abnormal ]


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unionist
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posted 13 January 2008 09:58 AM      Profile for unionist     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by abnormal:

Because the cost of healthcare is borne by the public and not the corporation and as a result their customers?


No kidding - I think Michelle's question was rhetorical.


From: Vote QS! | Registered: Dec 2005  |  IP: Logged
abnormal
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posted 13 January 2008 10:02 AM      Profile for abnormal   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I know it was.
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Boarsbreath
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posted 14 January 2008 03:03 PM      Profile for Boarsbreath   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Spend more than Canada? They spend more than anybody, even the French.

I suspect the focus is on Social Secority and the medical programs because those cannot, realistically, be turned off. And they are set to balloon as the population ages, the same population who vote most. Army bases can be shut down -- of course military spending is fantastically wasteful, but it's easier to deal with than entitlement programs.


From: South Seas, ex Montreal | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
RosaL
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posted 14 January 2008 03:28 PM      Profile for RosaL     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Boarsbreath:
Spend more than Canada? They spend more than anybody, even the French.

I suspect the focus is on Social Secority and the medical programs because those cannot, realistically, be turned off. And they are set to balloon as the population ages, the same population who vote most. Army bases can be shut down -- of course military spending is fantastically wasteful, but it's easier to deal with than entitlement programs.


Bush and various others are just dying to privatize both Social Security and Medicare. They've been talking about it for some time.


From: the underclass | Registered: Mar 2007  |  IP: Logged
Fidel
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posted 14 January 2008 05:00 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Well if Michael Moore's Sicko is anything to go by, for a few hundred thou Hillary will love the insurance companies again. I'm thinkin' single-payer health care has about as much chance as the Liberal Democrats voting to trim the largest military budget in world history.
From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
jester
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posted 15 January 2008 06:59 PM      Profile for jester        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by RosaL:

Bush and various others are just dying to privatize both Social Security and Medicare. They've been talking about it for some time.


The unfunded liabilities of Medicare (due to the US government paying interest on debt to Medicare with more debt rather than cash,will render Medicare bankrupt by 2020.


From: Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain | Registered: Jan 2006  |  IP: Logged
jester
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posted 15 January 2008 07:18 PM      Profile for jester        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Medicare in the US is limited to those 65 and olders plus persons with disabilities. It is funded by taxes paid during an individual's working life. if an individual has not paid in sufficiently during their working life,optional premiums are possible.

Medicare has 2 parts- Part A is fully funded hospital care and Part B is optional doctors care for medically necessarytreatment. Part B is funded by premiums paid for by seniors and disabled @ $97.00/month

Medicaid is a joint program by federal and state governments to provide medical care for low income individuals and families. Coverage varies from state to state.

The reason for Medicare and Medicaid's future bankruptcy is that the US government is playing sleight of hand to keep this debt off the books. US deficit spending is much larger than officially presented and the unfunded liabilities of Medicare are only one of many methods to keep these debts off the books until after the genius leaves the WhiteHouse.


From: Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain | Registered: Jan 2006  |  IP: Logged
Fidel
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posted 15 January 2008 07:51 PM      Profile for Fidel     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Maybe they could rob from education, environment, and "international relations" spending.

quote:
the $463 billion Pentagon is so unaccountable that not only could the Dept. of Defense not pass an audit, its books are in such bad shape that an audit cannot be performed. See Financial Mismanagement in the Department of Defense Report(pdf)

The Pentagon apparently couldn't account for $1 trillion taxpayer dollars spent on that department just before 2000.


From: Viva La Revolución | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged
jester
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posted 16 January 2008 05:49 AM      Profile for jester        Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This week, Citigroup,the largest US bank has fessed up to $18 billion in losses on top of 7.8 billion previously. Merrill Lynch is next on Thursday.

As part of the concerted effort to contain the damage,all these US financial entities are announcing deals for capital injections from Chinese and Arab sovereign wealth funds.

The spin is that the banks are seeking financing from selected sources and that these sources are performing due diligence and making investment decisions based on in-depth analysis that indicates a profitable investment.

The truth is that these sovereign wealth funds are loaded with American dollars that have no place to go and the funds are merely dumping dollars,hoping for the best.

With a 300 point collapse in the Dow yesterday,look for the fed to cut interest rates by 75 basis points,the dollar to fall and the fiasco to get worse,not better.


From: Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain | Registered: Jan 2006  |  IP: Logged

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