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Author Topic: Manitoba Manitoba NDP MLA to run for Federal Ndp Nomination
wmale20
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posted 30 August 2008 06:38 PM      Profile for wmale20     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
More than a year after he announced his retirement, Elmwood-Transcona MP Bill Blaikie will pass his mantle to another New Democrat next weekend as the party gathers to nominate its candidate in the looming federal election.

Topping the three-person ticket is Elmwood MLA Jim Maloway, who finally made it official Friday and confirmed his intention to leave provincial politics and make a bid for a seat in Ottawa.

Of the approximately 1,000 NDP members in the riding, Maloway says he's sewn up about 750.

But rival Lorene Mahoney, a nurse and longtime party volunteer, said she has been campaigning for more than a year and Maloway doesn't have a lock on the nomination.

"There are a lot of undecided voters," she said.

The third candidate vying for the NDP nomination, Canadian Union of Public Employees Manitoba president Kevin Rebeck, couldn't be reached for comment.

Maloway, a maverick backbencher in Premier Gary Doer's government, has been elected seven times as the MLA for Elmwood, most recently in May 2007.

"I've been through a lot of elections and sometimes things can turn real weird on you," Maloway said. "So on that basis, you want to have someone with a proven track record who can organize and win elections."

If Maloway wins the nomination, he's bound by law to resign as MLA for Elmwood, which triggers a byelection. Doer controls the timing of byelections and he's traditionally been fairly quick to call them.

Blaikie, the party's elder statesmen, will be the featured speaker at the nom inating meeting, slated for the evening of Sept. 7 at the Canad Inns Club Regent Hotel. Blaikie has represented
http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/subscriber/local/story/4220147p-4813497c.html

Maloway seeks nod to run in Transcona

By: Mary Agnes Welch

Updated: August 30 at 12:35 AM CDT


the eastern corner of Winnipeg for nearly 30 years and is the deputy speaker of the House of Commons.

Meanwhile, the Tories are grappling with whether to hold a nomination meeting in Elmwood-Transcona or appoint what several in the party claim is a star candidate whose name is familiar to all Manitobans. The Tories have tried to hold nomination meetings twice with no success. The Liberals have yet to name or nominate a candidate.

maryagnes.welch@freepress.mb.ca


From: Winnipeg | Registered: Sep 2001  |  IP: Logged
wmale20
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posted 30 August 2008 06:40 PM      Profile for wmale20     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/subscriber/local/story/4220147p-4813497c.html


Maloway seeks nod to run in Transcona

By: Mary Agnes Welch

Updated: August 30 at 12:35 AM CDT

quote:
Originally posted by wmale20:
More than a year after he announced his retirement, Elmwood-Transcona MP Bill Blaikie will pass his mantle to another New Democrat next weekend as the party gathers to nominate its candidate in the looming federal election.

Topping the three-person ticket is Elmwood MLA Jim Maloway, who finally made it official Friday and confirmed his intention to leave provincial politics and make a bid for a seat in Ottawa.

Of the approximately 1,000 NDP members in the riding, Maloway says he's sewn up about 750.

But rival Lorene Mahoney, a nurse and longtime party volunteer, said she has been campaigning for more than a year and Maloway doesn't have a lock on the nomination.

"There are a lot of undecided voters," she said.

The third candidate vying for the NDP nomination, Canadian Union of Public Employees Manitoba president Kevin Rebeck, couldn't be reached for comment.

Maloway, a maverick backbencher in Premier Gary Doer's government, has been elected seven times as the MLA for Elmwood, most recently in May 2007.

"I've been through a lot of elections and sometimes things can turn real weird on you," Maloway said. "So on that basis, you want to have someone with a proven track record who can organize and win elections."

If Maloway wins the nomination, he's bound by law to resign as MLA for Elmwood, which triggers a byelection. Doer controls the timing of byelections and he's traditionally been fairly quick to call them.

Blaikie, the party's elder statesmen, will be the featured speaker at the nom inating meeting, slated for the evening of Sept. 7 at the Canad Inns Club Regent Hotel. Blaikie has represented

the eastern corner of Winnipeg for nearly 30 years and is the deputy speaker of the House of Commons.

Meanwhile, the Tories are grappling with whether to hold a nomination meeting in Elmwood-Transcona or appoint what several in the party claim is a star candidate whose name is familiar to all Manitobans. The Tories have tried to hold nomination meetings twice with no success. The Liberals have yet to name or nominate a candidate.

maryagnes.welch@freepress.mb.ca



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Stockholm
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posted 31 August 2008 08:22 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
People I know in Manitoba tell me he is absolutely the lowest quality and most talentless person in the Manitoba NDP caucus. There is a reason why he has never been appointed to anything by Doer. I hope one of the other contenders wins.
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Ken Burch
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posted 31 August 2008 10:01 PM      Profile for Ken Burch     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
What does it mean, exactly, that Maloway is considered a "maverick" NDP MLA?

Does he frequently defy the party whip? If so, does he defy it from the left or the right? Manitoba New Democrats have been plagued by splinter groups from their party's right wing(it was the vote of one such
splinterer that brought down the Pawley government in 1987 when the NDP was at 6% support in the polls, and there were the three splitters who formed the "Progressive Party" in the run-up to the '81 provincial election IIRC).


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genstrike
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posted 01 September 2008 07:57 AM      Profile for genstrike   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I live in Manitoba and I've never heard about him until the Disraeli bridge issue, and that was so short ago it can come off like he was trying to get attention to prepare for this run. I'm sorry, but you have to do a little more than disagree with the municipal government on a bridge in your area once in 20 years to be a maverick. But on the other hand, somehow John McCain can be considered a maverick, so maybe the bar has been lowered in recent years. There is a lot of room for a maverick from the left in the Manitoba NDP, sadly Maloway isn't it.
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ghoris
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posted 01 September 2008 12:45 PM      Profile for ghoris     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
As someone posted on previous thread, Jim Maloway is the Tony Ruprecht of Manitoba politics.

The demographics suggest a safe NDP seat, but the Tories scored a surprisingly healthy 32% last time while Blaikie benefitted from a collapse in the Liberal vote.

Make no mistake, even with a mediocre candidate like Maloway, the NDP would be the odds-on favourite to win. But I expect a closer result than last time.


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genstrike
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posted 01 September 2008 02:21 PM      Profile for genstrike   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Stockholm:
People I know in Manitoba tell me he is absolutely the lowest quality and most talentless person in the Manitoba NDP caucus. There is a reason why he has never been appointed to anything by Doer. I hope one of the other contenders wins.

You know Sam Katz?


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N.Beltov
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posted 03 September 2008 11:14 AM      Profile for N.Beltov   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Meanwhile, the Conservatives have just announced that they are running former Winnipeg Jet, Thomas Steen, in the Transcona riding.

Nothing personal, but I hope Steen gets boarded and sustains a career-ending political injury. The Conservatives are a bunch of puck hogs and goal sucks anyway, and the likeable Swede will never get a pass from the chief sniveller at 24 Sussex Drive.


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kropotkin1951
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posted 03 September 2008 11:41 AM      Profile for kropotkin1951   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by ghoris:
As someone posted on previous thread, Jim Maloway is the Tony Ruprecht of Manitoba politics.

Do you mean he is an Ontario Liberal MPP? What do you mean about him I'm confused?

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genstrike
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posted 03 September 2008 11:46 AM      Profile for genstrike   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I am so not impressed whenever someone picks up an athlete as a "star candidate". You're good at hockey, big deal, please explain to me how that would help you be an MP (and don't get me started on Tina Keeper up north). At least Linda West has some qualifications, even if they are from a diploma mill. But I guess with this guy in Transcona and Kennerd in Winnipeg South Center, that is probably the best the Tories can do. They know they'll never win on the issues so they're trying to win it like it is a popularity contests.

But on the plus side, I don't think the Tories can win this one, although it might be a bit closer this time around

[ 03 September 2008: Message edited by: genstrike ]


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genstrike
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posted 08 September 2008 07:12 AM      Profile for genstrike   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Maloway won. Link

But maybe one of the others can get Maloway's old job as a consolation prize?


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St. Paul's Progressive
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posted 08 September 2008 07:41 AM      Profile for St. Paul's Progressive     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by ghoris:
As someone posted on previous thread, Jim Maloway is the Tony Ruprecht of Manitoba politics.

The demographics suggest a safe NDP seat, but the Tories scored a surprisingly healthy 32% last time while Blaikie benefitted from a collapse in the Liberal vote.

Make no mistake, even with a mediocre candidate like Maloway, the NDP would be the odds-on favourite to win. But I expect a closer result than last time.


Bill Blaikie was my favourite MP. I hope this Maloway isn't anything like Tony Ruprecht!


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jas
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posted 08 September 2008 08:06 AM      Profile for jas     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Sorry, but when I see the name 'Ruprecht' I can only think of Steve Martin in Dirty Rotten Scoundrels
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jas
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posted 08 September 2008 08:14 AM      Profile for jas     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by genstrike:
They know they'll never win on the issues so they're trying to win it like it is a popularity contests.

Unfortunately, I think that's often how Winnipeggers vote. Mayor Sam Katz, for example. Political credentials: owner of a baseball team. There's a bit of that old-style, small-town boosterism still detectable in Winnipeg. It's charming until you see it affecting civic policy and direction.

[ 08 September 2008: Message edited by: jas ]


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genstrike
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posted 08 September 2008 09:38 AM      Profile for genstrike   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by jas:

Unfortunately, I think that's often how Winnipeggers vote. Mayor Sam Katz, for example. Political credentials: owner of a baseball team. There's a bit of that old-style, small-town boosterism still detectable in Winnipeg. It's charming until you see it affecting civic policy and direction.

[ 08 September 2008: Message edited by: jas ]


Yeah, I agree with you here. That is basically the only way you explain Sam Katz, or why the Tories are going for Steen in Transcona (even though he doesn't live there) and Kennerd in Winnipeg South Center. It also explains the whole Jets (non)issue last provincial election. But fortunately Transcona is a pretty safe riding and Maloway has managed to get over 60% in Elmlwood in the last 3 provincial elections, so I wouldn't worry too much about Steen taking it. The one to really watch in Manitoba is going to be Churchill (and to a lesser extent some of the Lib-Con races in the southern half ow Winnipeg)


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ghoris
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posted 02 November 2008 08:47 PM      Profile for ghoris     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by genstrike:
But fortunately Transcona is a pretty safe riding

Not anymore, it would seem.

NDP 14,355 45.8% (-5.0)
CPC 12,776 40.7% (+8.6)

What I've heard from folks back home who live in the riding is that although Steen had a lot of name recognition, most people felt he was a pretty weak candidate. However, Maloway was also regarded as pretty mediocre. I have heard from some reasonably reliable sources that there was a lot of grumbling among NDP/Blaikie supporters in the Transcona part of the riding, and a lot of them sat this one out, which could explain the closeness of the result. I have yet to see a poll-by-poll breakdown, but I'd wager dollars to donuts that Maloway did well in the western part of the riding but Steen won Transcona.

In some sense, both parties suffered from the weakness of their respective candidates. I think that if Linda West had run again for the Tories she would have won. Similarly, I think if the NDP had nominated a better candidate than Maloway, the result would not have been as close.


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Stockholm
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posted 03 November 2008 04:18 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
This was probably the Tories' one and only chance to win that riding. Maloway may be a mediocrity and a real waste of a safe NDP seat - but now's he's the incumbent and will be hard to dislodge and in the next election there is almost certain to be more discontent with the Tories than this time.

The 2008 election was almost certainly the high water mark for the Tories in Manitoba and saskatchewan and they probably have no where to go but down now.


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ghoris
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posted 03 November 2008 05:26 PM      Profile for ghoris     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
You could be right.

Believe it or not, the Tories did even better in both Manitoba and Saskatchewan in terms of the percentage of the popular vote than during the Mulroney sweep in 1984. Interestingly, the seat breakdown in Manitoba is exactly the same as 1984 while Saskatchewan was 9 PC and 5 NDP. (Of course, the federal NDP was much stronger in the Prairie provinces back then...)


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Stockholm
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posted 03 November 2008 06:24 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
I think its fair to say that the federal NDP was stronger in Saskatchewan in the 80s than it is now. I'm not so sure about whether you can say that about Manitoba or Alberta.
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ghoris
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posted 03 November 2008 11:39 PM      Profile for ghoris     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
Outside of its fortress in north-central Winnipeg, and the furthest northern reaches of the province, the federal NDP is basically not on the radar screen in Manitoba. In the 60s, 70s and early 80s, there were always at least one or two rural NDP seats in Manitoba and the NDP was competitive in west Winnipeg. The NDP managed 7 seats in 1980 but now they have basically reached their ceiling at 4.

I'll grant that the NDP's average vote in Alberta in the 80, 84 and 88 elections (14.1%) is only marginally better than 2008 (12.7%).


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Stockholm
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posted 05 November 2008 12:08 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The one time that the federal NDP really cashed in in Manitoba was in 1980 - but that was largely because of a backlash against a wildly unpopular provincial Tory government led by Sterling Lyon. The NDp only won Churchill for the first time in 1979 - before that it was always a Tory seat.

While its true that the NDP won Selkirk off and on in the 60s and 70s - in those days the seat included a big chunk of northeastern Winnipeg that is now Elmwood-Transcona. The NDP was never competitive in west Winnipeg - that was always true blue Dan McKenzie country.

The NDP did come very close to winning Selkirk-Interlake again in 1997 - but that was with a four way split with strong PC, Reform and liberal candidates splitting the vote.


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ghoris
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posted 05 November 2008 01:40 PM      Profile for ghoris     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Stockholm:
While its true that the NDP won Selkirk off and on in the 60s and 70s - in those days the seat included a big chunk of northeastern Winnipeg that is now Elmwood-Transcona.

Selkirk has never, to my knowledge, included Elmwood, East Kildonan or Transcona (the present day Elmwood-Transcona). It did include North Kildonan (the southeastern quadrant of present-day Kildonan-St.Paul) in the 60s and 70s. NK was then included with Elmwood, Transcona and EK from 1979 to 1984 in Bill Blaikie's old Winnipeg-Bird's Hill seat, then it was lumped back in with Selkirk again in the 1988 and 1993 elections as Selkirk-Red River until it was spun off again in 1997 into what is basically the current Kildonan-St. Paul seat.

quote:
The NDP was never competitive in west Winnipeg - that was always true blue Dan McKenzie country.

Au contraire. Cyril Keeper won Winnipeg-St. James in 1980 and the NDP finished a close second in 1979 and in 1984. Mackenzie's Winnipeg Assiniboine seat was the southern half of what is today Charleswood-St. James-Assinobine and the western half of Winnipeg South Centre, ie Charleswood, Tuxedo and River Heights. You're right that the NDP has never been competitive there, but it was won St. Charles, St. James-Assiniboia, Kirkfield Park and Westwood federally in the past (and now holds all the provincial seats in that area).

[ 05 November 2008: Message edited by: ghoris ]


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Stockholm
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posted 05 November 2008 03:53 PM      Profile for Stockholm     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
The old riding of Winnipeg-St. James (which existed for about two elections) included a lot of what is now Winnipeg Centre. In 1988, the boundaries shifted west and Cyril Keeper switched to Winnipeg Centre (where he lost) because he knew that there was no chance of winning in a seat that actually went west at all.

Look at a map of the old Selkirk riding that existed up until 1979 - it went right into the centre of Winnipeg and was essentially an urban seat.


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V. Jara
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posted 06 November 2008 09:29 PM      Profile for V. Jara     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by Stockholm:
I think its fair to say that the federal NDP was stronger in Saskatchewan in the 80s than it is now. I'm not so sure about whether you can say that about Manitoba or Alberta.

The NDP was stronger in Alberta, both in terms of % of the vote and other measures. Grant Notley was the Alberta NDP leader during part of that period and very popular. His leadership helped the NDP to form the official opposition and win more seats than the provincial party even cares to dream of now. The seeds were sown for the Ross Harvey federal breakthrough in 1988. Part of what makes the NDP appear "strong" now is that the Liberals are so weak. The Federal party still has room to grow in ALberta.


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V. Jara
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posted 06 November 2008 09:33 PM      Profile for V. Jara     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
P.S. Now that the Liberals have twice lost Winnipeg South (by progressively larger margins) and given that the provincial NDP has several strong (all female!) MLAs representing the riding and given that Rod Bruinooge is bit of a conservative zealot with anti-choice views, isn't it about time the Federal NDP took a real shot at that seat?
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Aristotleded24
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posted 08 November 2008 09:21 PM      Profile for Aristotleded24   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message      Edit/Delete Post  Reply With Quote 
quote:
Originally posted by V. Jara:
P.S. Now that the Liberals have twice lost Winnipeg South (by progressively larger margins) and given that the provincial NDP has several strong (all female!) MLAs representing the riding and given that Rod Bruinooge is bit of a conservative zealot with anti-choice views, isn't it about time the Federal NDP took a real shot at that seat?

Not under the current boundaries. The northwest portion of this riding includes very wealthy Winnipeg neighbourhoods (along with portions of the provincial seat of Manitoba PC leader Hugh McFadyen). They might go Liberal if the candidate was far enough right economically, but wouldn't go NDP. I know the NDP thought the Liberals would win and that they could push Bruinooge into third. Instead Bruinooge won by a larger margin than when he defeated Alcock.

[ 08 November 2008: Message edited by: Aristotleded24 ]


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