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Topic: Saanich Gulf Islands Part 3
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Malcolm
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 5168
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posted 02 November 2008 10:57 PM
Given the vast range in the number of electors in different ridings, it would be a pointless exercise. The combined votes of all the candidates in Nunavut wouldn't have elected an MP in most of the rest of the country.On the other matter: 1) The possibility of illegal activity should be investigated. 2) If people chose to vote for a withdrawn New Democrat or for the Green rather than the Liberal, they have every right to do that whether you like it or not. 3) Whether Briony Penn got more votes or fewer votes than winners in other ridings is irrelevant. She got fewer votes than Gary Lunn, so she lost. 4) Time to concede defeat.
From: Regina, SK | Registered: Mar 2004
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Wilf Day
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3276
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posted 02 November 2008 11:32 PM
quote: Originally posted by Brian White: Perhaps someone would like to tabulate winning and losing vote numbers from across Canada? Who lost with the highest numbers (top 10 across canada)?
quote: Originally posted by Malcolm: Given the vast range in the number of electors in different ridings, it would be a pointless exercise.
Maybe, but I was curious, and my spreadsheet let me check quickly. The answer, of course, starts mostly with the suburban ridings that have grown the most since the 2001 census on which the last redistribution was based, but Saanich-Gulf Islands is right up there:Oak Ridges-Markham, Liberal lost with 31,483 Saanich-Gulf Islands, Liberal lost with 25,366 Halton, Liberal lost with 25,136 Ottawa-Orleans, Liberal lost with 23,549 Mississauga-Erindale, Liberal lost with 23,466 Nanaimo-Cowichan, Conservative lost with 22,844 Kitchener-Waterloo, Liberal lost with 21,813 North Vancouver, Liberal lost with 21,551 Brampton West (before recount), Conservative lost with 21,516 Thornhill, Liberal lost with 21,448
From: Port Hope, Ontario | Registered: Oct 2002
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Malcolm
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 5168
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posted 03 November 2008 09:42 PM
quote: Originally posted by Brian White: I am not sure why malcolm feels he has to defend the conservatives but whatever. Some people want to be pawns.
I have never defended Conservatives, but whatever, Some people prefer to be liars. The principle reason there are wide variances in riding populations has to do with the fact that constituencies are not permitted to cross provincial / territorial boundaries. Thus, Nunavut, for example, will always be miniscule in population compared to nearly any constituency in the South. Similarly, the "Senate Floor" (meaning no province may have fewer MPs than Senators) means that PEI seats will always be quite small. I can see how this disparity upsets you though - especially the way it has led to generations of domination by Northerners and Spudislanders. Their dreadful hegemony must be very oppressive to you poor folk on Vancouver Island, suffering under the depredation of the Muckluk's and the Gumboot's heel. The other pressure on riding sizes has to do with the way in which suburban seats (as Wilf rightly points out) tend to grow at a faster rate than the general population. This could be mitigated (though not eliminated) if we did a redistribution after every election, but since the census is decennial, this is not practical.
From: Regina, SK | Registered: Mar 2004
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remind
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 6289
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posted 03 November 2008 09:45 PM
quote: Originally posted by Brian White: We have phones and internet and cars, and social services. You do not need to swap spit with your political rep to be "served" by them.
Nonsense having huge ridings prohibits adequate representation and information sharing. quote: It is pure baloney that rural votes are worth more than urban votes.
It is pure baloney that urban votes are worth more than rural votes. Especially given the means for urbanites to be urbanites comes from the rural demographics. And that we have more voices in urban centres controlling things than we do rural! quote: My vote should have the same power to elect someone whether I vote ndp, conservative, green or liberal. And it should have the same power to elect regardless of where I live in Canada, urban or rural, and ontario or alberta. Clearly it does not.
Get over it your one vote is not worth anymore than anyone else's 1 vote. quote: Basically you are saying that if johnie has a big enough farm he can have his own personal MP.
Not 1 person said that. quote: And like I said, that could be cleared up by a referendum. If the NDP were balzy enough to propose one, they would get more votes.
Setting aside the nonsensical sexist commentary, the NDP have long been front and centre pushing for PR, so please do stop attempting to make it appear that they aren't.[ 04 November 2008: Message edited by: remind ]
From: "watching the tide roll away" | Registered: Jun 2004
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Stockholm
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 3138
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posted 04 November 2008 04:51 AM
I kind of like the Australian system where they do a redistribution after every single election to make sure that each and every riding has exactly the same number of eligible voters - the only exception being that riding boundaries cannot cross state lines. Why not have pure rep by pop.I also don't understand these crazy arguments that they needed to create these mixed urban/rural seats in Saskatchewan because otherwise some rural seats would be too big. There are plenty of ridings in the territories and northern Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, BC etc... that are wayyyy bigger than any of the purely rural seats in Sask. would ever be. Next redistribution, the NDP in Sask. has got to get its act together and push for the creation of purely urban seats in Regina and Saskatoon and an end to the current gerrymandering.
From: Toronto | Registered: Sep 2002
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scott
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 637
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posted 06 November 2008 08:33 AM
quote: Originally posted by Stockholm: I kind of like the Australian system where they do a redistribution after every single election to make sure that each and every riding has exactly the same number of eligible voters - the only exception being that riding boundaries cannot cross state lines. Why not have pure rep by pop.
I agree. We have that in BC, although it is only every 8 years and there are some wiggle room that allows some variation is size, but it has to be justified. I prefer that it would be closer to strictly rep by pop. Another overlooked factor is riding size. There should be a maximum riding size legislated so that the Electoral Boundaries Commission has the power to add seats to the legislature as the population increases so that the density of representation is not reduced. quote: I also don't understand these crazy arguments that they needed to create these mixed urban/rural seats in Saskatchewan because otherwise some rural seats would be too big. There are plenty of ridings in the territories and northern Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, BC etc... that are wayyyy bigger than any of the purely rural seats in Sask. would ever be.
It makes more sense to draw riding boundaries based on commonality of interest. Prince George in BC was split like a big pie in the previous provincial redistribution, but now it is it's own riding. Much better. When public hearings are held on these matters you have to get out and make your views known. The last BC map was adjusted considerably after public input was taken into consideration after the first go around.
From: Kootenays BC | Registered: May 2001
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kropotkin1951
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 2732
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posted 06 November 2008 01:43 PM
quote: Originally posted by Brian White: This became such a big issue in ireland about 40 years ago that it had to go to referendum. The people voted in favour of all votes having equal power. I do not believe Canadians would be any different if it was put to a vote. It is a basic fairness thing, not an urban rural thing. Having rural ridings where minute populations get an MP is inbuilt gerrymandering.
You just don't seem to understand the distances involved. Ireland is under 85,000 square kilometres. Vancouver Island North is over 52,000 kms/2. VIN in 2006 had about 84,000 electors and the population density was 2.2 per square kilometre. It includes the Regional Districts of Comox Valley, Strathcona, Mount Waddington and the southern half of Central Coast excluding Calvert Island and Hunter Island. These regional districts include the towns of Campbell River, Comox, Courtenay, Port Alice, Port McNeill, Port Hardy, Alert Bay, Quadra Island, Denman Island and Hornby Island.Vancouver Centre had about 92,000 electors and the riding was 16 kms/2. Its population density was over 7,700 per kms/2. I doubt the people of Ireland would want to have a system where their MP lived at one end of the country and they lived at the other which is geographically similar to VIN.
From: North of Manifest Destiny | Registered: Jun 2002
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Brian White
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 8013
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posted 06 November 2008 02:34 PM
Perhaps you can explain how they do it in Australia then? As stockholm said, they have pure representation by poplation and lots of wide open spaces too. In first past the post, imagine being a vocal NDP supporter in one of your thinly poplated ridings with a conservative MP and a comfortable conservative majority. You will get no attention at all. NADA, NOTHING. In STV and some of the list systems you have 4 or 5 people from different partys to turn to. And they will have cars and they will have phones and they will visit little mickey mouse towns every week trying to get re elected. There is "relatively speaking" almost no competition in a single member riding and an mp's fate is tied to his or her party leader. So lots of them do not do much locally. Why bother if you may not get your just rewards? STV is highly competitive and if the mp does a lot of work locally, they very often get re elected regardless of the leadership. I have not yet had a political hopeful knock on my door in canada, I live in a city and I have been here 10 years! That would be unthinkable back in stv land. The NDP in BC went from government party to 2 seats in one election. That cannot happen in STV. I do not think it can happen in MMP pro rep either. Brian quote: Originally posted by kropotkin1951: You just don't seem to understand the distances involved. Ireland is under 85,000 square kilometres. Vancouver Island North is over 52,000 kms/2. VIN in 2006 had about 84,000 electors and the population density was 2.2 per square kilometre. It includes the Regional Districts of Comox Valley, Strathcona, Mount Waddington and the southern half of Central Coast excluding Calvert Island and Hunter Island. These regional districts include the towns of Campbell River, Comox, Courtenay, Port Alice, Port McNeill, Port Hardy, Alert Bay, Quadra Island, Denman Island and Hornby Island.Vancouver Centre had about 92,000 electors and the riding was 16 kms/2. Its population density was over 7,700 per kms/2. I doubt the people of Ireland would want to have a system where their MP lived at one end of the country and they lived at the other which is geographically similar to VIN.
From: Victoria Bc | Registered: Jan 2005
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scott
rabble-rouser
Babbler # 637
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posted 09 November 2008 08:43 AM
quote: Originally posted by remind:[Quoting me]No. It would be the opposite. Strict rep by pop would benefit the West...Adding a top up layer of proportionally allocated seats as I suggested above could satisfy rep by pop and maintain the current seats in the maritimes and Quebec.[/end quoting me] I do not get how it could, when Central Canada has the most population. It means they would instantly get more seats than they already have.
Something is not being understood, and it’s probably my fault for mixing them up in my OP. There are two different things being discussed here. One is rep by pop – making all seats have close to the same population, which currently they do not. The other is proportionality – ensuring that the makeup of the house reflects the votes cast for the various parties, which currently it does not. The majority of the population of Canada is in the East. There is not much we can do about that. They have the most seats and will still have the most seats under a rep by pop formula. They have more seats than they deserve because of historic locks and demographic changes. What I said above is that by ADDING seats to the house the seat count in the West could be raised to correct this inequity while maintaining the existing guarantees (such as PEI is guaranteed 4 seats). To address the second point: adding seats makes the transition to pro rep easier. One of the reasons that the MMP proposal for Ontario was such a hard sell was due to Ontario provincial ridings being so much larger than most provincial ridings. This constrained the design process and created a fear that there would be a loss of regional representation (which was low to begin with). The average Ontario provincial riding population is about 115000 while in BC is only about 40000. If the Ontario CA has recommended ADDING a layer of compensatory seats the proposal would have been an easier sell because there would have been no loss of regional representation. The same thing goes federally. Either you add a compensatory layer to achieve proportionality or you choose a system such as the STV which achieves proportionality by having multiple member ridings but maintains existing density of representation. [ 09 November 2008: Message edited by: scott ]
From: Kootenays BC | Registered: May 2001
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